Model signal exists, but the player does not meet the 20-game publication history floor.
A positive gap is not a pick: qualification also requires confidence, edge, expected value and a sufficient sample — those rules are unchanged.
Source & method · as of Oct 31, 12:42 AM ET
Source
repicom_public_nfl_intelligence_v1 (NO PLAY research rows, read server-side)
Statistic
Probability of the evaluated side, in %
Calculation
Model = model_probability. Market = captured market_probability; if absent, implied from american_odds (−odds ÷ (−odds + 100), or 100 ÷ (odds + 100)). Gap = model − market, in percentage points. EV = p × (decimal − 1) − (1 − p) per 1u.
Sample
history_games on the row
Freshness
Read on every request (no cache); the market price is the one captured with the evaluation
Missing data
A missing probability or price shows “—” and no bar. Nothing is estimated.
Recent form · receptionsMeasured
∅
Recent formNot available yet — requires a verified non-qualified intelligence row for this player and market. REPICOM does not estimate missing data.
Source & method · as of Oct 31, 12:42 AM ET
Source
repicom_nfl_intelligence_v1 — non-qualified, unlocked rows only, joined on player + market (+ game_id)
Statistic
Games that cleared the line, out of the last 10 (count)
Calculation
recent10_hits ÷ recent10_games. Dots show the count, not the game order.
Game-by-game · real game logs vs the Hard Rock line
ReceptionsOver the line in 2 of last 5 with a Hard Rock line
2026 season
4.0
Last 5
4.2
Last 10
4.0
Home · Away
5.0 · 3.0
3
DEN
5
IND
2
MIA
4
LV
7
LAC
3
SEA
Date
Opp
Receptions
Line
Oct 25
@ SEA
3
4.5
Under
Oct 18
vs LAC
7
4.5
Over
Oct 4
@ LV
4
3.5
Over
Sep 27
@ MIA
2
3.5
Under
Sep 20
vs IND
5
—
Sep 14
vs DEN
3
3.5
Under
Receiving yardsOver the line in 2 of last 5 with a Hard Rock line
2026 season
36.2
Last 5
39.8
Last 10
36.2
Home · Away
38.7 · 33.7
18
DEN
25
IND
20
MIA
70
LV
73
LAC
11
SEA
Date
Opp
Receiving yards
Line
Oct 25
@ SEA
11
50.5
Under
Oct 18
vs LAC
73
48.5
Over
Oct 4
@ LV
70
33.5
Over
Sep 27
@ MIA
20
39.5
Under
Sep 20
vs IND
25
—
Sep 14
vs DEN
18
34.5
Under
Stats: nflverse game logs, regular season. Line: Hard Rock's final line before each game, when we captured one. Green bar = over the line, red = under.
SourcesResearch: repicom_public_nfl_intelligence_v1 (NO PLAY rows) · Form: repicom_nfl_intelligence_v1 (non-qualified rows only) · Read live at Oct 31, 12:42 AM ET.Member-qualified and locked player markets are never shown on public research pages. A research signal is not a REPICOM play.
