Model signal exists, but the player does not meet the 20-game publication history floor.
A positive gap is not a pick: qualification also requires confidence, edge, expected value and a sufficient sample — those rules are unchanged.
Source & method · as of Oct 30, 4:31 PM ET
Source
repicom_public_nfl_intelligence_v1 (NO PLAY research rows, read server-side)
Statistic
Probability of the evaluated side, in %
Calculation
Model = model_probability. Market = captured market_probability; if absent, implied from american_odds (−odds ÷ (−odds + 100), or 100 ÷ (odds + 100)). Gap = model − market, in percentage points. EV = p × (decimal − 1) − (1 − p) per 1u.
Sample
history_games on the row
Freshness
Read on every request (no cache); the market price is the one captured with the evaluation
Missing data
A missing probability or price shows “—” and no bar. Nothing is estimated.
Recent form · rushing yardsMeasured
∅
Recent formNot available yet — requires a verified non-qualified intelligence row for this player and market. REPICOM does not estimate missing data.
Source & method · as of Oct 30, 4:31 PM ET
Source
repicom_nfl_intelligence_v1 — non-qualified, unlocked rows only, joined on player + market (+ game_id)
Statistic
Games that cleared the line, out of the last 10 (count)
Calculation
recent10_hits ÷ recent10_games. Dots show the count, not the game order.
Game-by-game · real game logs vs the Hard Rock line
Rushing yardsOver the line in 0 of last 4 with a Hard Rock line
2026 season
10.3
Last 5
7.6
Last 10
10.3
Home · Away
15.0 · 5.7
24
DEN
15
IND
17
MIA
0
LV
6
LAC
0
SEA
Date
Opp
Rushing yards
Line
Oct 25
@ SEA
0
9.5
Under
Oct 18
vs LAC
6
14.5
Under
Oct 4
@ LV
0
17.5
Under
Sep 27
@ MIA
17
28.5
Under
Sep 20
vs IND
15
—
Sep 14
vs DEN
24
—
ReceptionsOver the line in 2 of last 4 with a Hard Rock line
2026 season
1.5
Last 5
1.4
Last 10
1.5
Home · Away
2.0 · 1.0
2
DEN
2
IND
0
MIA
1
LV
2
LAC
2
SEA
Date
Opp
Receptions
Line
Oct 25
@ SEA
2
1.5
Over
Oct 18
vs LAC
2
1.5
Over
Oct 4
@ LV
1
1.5
Under
Sep 27
@ MIA
0
1.5
Under
Sep 20
vs IND
2
—
Sep 14
vs DEN
2
—
Receiving yardsOver the line in 3 of last 4 with a Hard Rock line
2026 season
18.2
Last 5
13.0
Last 10
18.2
Home · Away
27.3 · 9.0
44
DEN
20
IND
0
MIA
10
LV
18
LAC
17
SEA
Date
Opp
Receiving yards
Line
Oct 25
@ SEA
17
6.5
Over
Oct 18
vs LAC
18
5.5
Over
Oct 4
@ LV
10
8.5
Over
Sep 27
@ MIA
0
10.5
Under
Sep 20
vs IND
20
—
Sep 14
vs DEN
44
—
Stats: nflverse game logs, regular season. Line: Hard Rock's final line before each game, when we captured one. Green bar = over the line, red = under.
SourcesResearch: repicom_public_nfl_intelligence_v1 (NO PLAY rows) · Form: repicom_nfl_intelligence_v1 (non-qualified rows only) · Read live at Oct 30, 4:31 PM ET.Member-qualified and locked player markets are never shown on public research pages. A research signal is not a REPICOM play.
