NFLNO PLAY research

Kenneth Walker III

Position and team not on the research feed

Next gameKansas City Chiefs @ Denver BroncosSun, Nov 1, 4:25 PM ETGame intelligence →

Historical sample Measured: 10 games
Last 10 · rushing yards Measured: —
MCP consistency Model: —
Markets evaluated: 6

Evidence · rushing yardsNO PLAY

Line Market 83.5

Price-115

Sportsbook—

REPICOM modelModel56.3%

Market impliedMarket53.5%

Model − market+2.8 ptsPrice -115

Edge Derived: +2.8 pts
EV per 1u Derived: +0.053u
Sample Measured: 10 g

REPICOM decisionNO PLAY

Model signal exists, but the player does not meet the 20-game publication history floor.

A positive gap is not a pick: qualification also requires confidence, edge, expected value and a sufficient sample — those rules are unchanged.

Source & method · as of Oct 28, 3:35 PM ET

Source: repicom_public_nfl_intelligence_v1 (NO PLAY research rows, read server-side)
Statistic: Probability of the evaluated side, in %
Calculation: Model = model_probability. Market = captured market_probability; if absent, implied from american_odds (−odds ÷ (−odds + 100), or 100 ÷ (odds + 100)). Gap = model − market, in percentage points. EV = p × (decimal − 1) − (1 − p) per 1u.
Sample: history_games on the row
Freshness: Read on every request (no cache); the market price is the one captured with the evaluation
Missing data: A missing probability or price shows “—” and no bar. Nothing is estimated.

Recent form · rushing yardsMeasured

Recent formNot available yet — requires a verified non-qualified intelligence row for this player and market. REPICOM does not estimate missing data.

Source & method · as of Oct 28, 3:35 PM ET

Source: repicom_nfl_intelligence_v1 — non-qualified, unlocked rows only, joined on player + market (+ game_id)
Statistic: Games that cleared the line, out of the last 10 (count)
Calculation: recent10_hits ÷ recent10_games. Dots show the count, not the game order.
Sample: recent10_games
Freshness: Read on every request (no cache)
Missing data: No confident join → “Recent form unavailable”.

Market map · every evaluated marketTap a market

REPICOM modelMarket impliedGap in pts

Compare playersPublic research only

Compare with

Kenneth Walker III

J.K. Dobbins

Historical sample

10 g26 g

Last-10 hit rate

—90%

Best model − market gap

+3.2 pts+17.6 pts

Markets evaluated

Open J.K. Dobbins

Game-by-game · real game logs vs the Hard Rock line

Rushing yardsOver the line in 2 of last 4 with a Hard Rock line

2026 season: 116.8
Last 5: 105.6
Last 10: 116.8
Home · Away: 139.3 · 94.3

173

DEN

117

IND

MIA

177

128

LAC

SEA

Date	Opp	Rushing yards	Line
Oct 25	@ SEA	36	80.5	Under
Oct 18	vs LAC	128	94.5	Over
Oct 4	@ LV	177	86.5	Over
Sep 27	@ MIA	70	84.5	Under
Sep 20	vs IND	117	—
Sep 14	vs DEN	173	—

ReceptionsOver the line in 1 of last 4 with a Hard Rock line

2026 season: 3.0
Last 5: 3.0
Last 10: 3.0
Home · Away: 3.7 · 2.3

DEN

IND

MIA

LAC

SEA

Date	Opp	Receptions	Line
Oct 25	@ SEA	4	3.5	Over
Oct 18	vs LAC	2	3.5	Under
Oct 4	@ LV	1	2.5	Under
Sep 27	@ MIA	2	3.5	Under
Sep 20	vs IND	6	—
Sep 14	vs DEN	3	—

Receiving yardsOver the line in 0 of last 4 with a Hard Rock line

2026 season: 19.3
Last 5: 19.6
Last 10: 19.3
Home · Away: 30.0 · 8.7

DEN

IND

MIA

LAC

SEA

Date	Opp	Receiving yards	Line
Oct 25	@ SEA	21	22.5	Under
Oct 18	vs LAC	11	21.5	Under
Oct 4	@ LV	2	21.5	Under
Sep 27	@ MIA	3	22.5	Under
Sep 20	vs IND	61	—
Sep 14	vs DEN	18	—

Stats: nflverse game logs, regular season. Line: Hard Rock's final line before each game, when we captured one. Green bar = over the line, red = under.

Also researched in this game4 players

J.K. Dobbinsrushing yards9/10 last 10 RJ Harveyreceiving yards6/8 last 10 Travis Kelcereceiving yards123 g sample Bo Nixpassing yards9 g sample

SourcesResearch: repicom_public_nfl_intelligence_v1 (NO PLAY rows) · Form: repicom_nfl_intelligence_v1 (non-qualified rows only) · Read live at Oct 28, 3:35 PM ET.Member-qualified and locked player markets are never shown on public research pages. A research signal is not a REPICOM play.