Model signal exists, but the player does not meet the 20-game publication history floor.
A positive gap is not a pick: qualification also requires confidence, edge, expected value and a sufficient sample — those rules are unchanged.
Source & method · as of Oct 28, 3:35 PM ET
Source
repicom_public_nfl_intelligence_v1 (NO PLAY research rows, read server-side)
Statistic
Probability of the evaluated side, in %
Calculation
Model = model_probability. Market = captured market_probability; if absent, implied from american_odds (−odds ÷ (−odds + 100), or 100 ÷ (odds + 100)). Gap = model − market, in percentage points. EV = p × (decimal − 1) − (1 − p) per 1u.
Sample
history_games on the row
Freshness
Read on every request (no cache); the market price is the one captured with the evaluation
Missing data
A missing probability or price shows “—” and no bar. Nothing is estimated.
Recent form · passing yardsMeasured
∅
Recent formNot available yet — requires a verified non-qualified intelligence row for this player and market. REPICOM does not estimate missing data.
Source & method · as of Oct 28, 3:35 PM ET
Source
repicom_nfl_intelligence_v1 — non-qualified, unlocked rows only, joined on player + market (+ game_id)
Statistic
Games that cleared the line, out of the last 10 (count)
Calculation
recent10_hits ÷ recent10_games. Dots show the count, not the game order.
Game-by-game · real game logs vs the Hard Rock line
Passing yardsOver the line in 2 of last 6 with a Hard Rock line
2026 season
181.6
Last 5
170.4
Last 10
181.6
Home · Away
193.7 · 172.5
131
KC
288
JAX
186
LA
214
SF
123
LAC
107
SEA
222
ARI
Date
Opp
Passing yards
Line
Oct 25
@ ARI
222
214.5
Over
Oct 15
vs SEA
107
196.5
Under
Oct 11
@ LAC
123
224.5
Under
Oct 4
@ SF
214
222.5
Under
Sep 27
vs LA
186
—
Sep 20
vs JAX
288
220.5
Over
Sep 14
@ KC
131
226.5
Under
Rushing yardsOver the line in 1 of last 6 with a Hard Rock line
2026 season
15.7
Last 5
20.4
Last 10
15.7
Home · Away
5.0 · 23.8
2
KC
6
JAX
7
LA
10
SF
10
LAC
2
SEA
73
ARI
Date
Opp
Rushing yards
Line
Oct 25
@ ARI
73
10.5
Over
Oct 15
vs SEA
2
14.5
Under
Oct 11
@ LAC
10
13.5
Under
Oct 4
@ SF
10
16.5
Under
Sep 27
vs LA
7
—
Sep 20
vs JAX
6
17.5
Under
Sep 14
@ KC
2
16.5
Under
Stats: nflverse game logs, regular season. Line: Hard Rock's final line before each game, when we captured one. Green bar = over the line, red = under.
SourcesResearch: repicom_public_nfl_intelligence_v1 (NO PLAY rows) · Form: repicom_nfl_intelligence_v1 (non-qualified rows only) · Read live at Oct 28, 3:35 PM ET.Member-qualified and locked player markets are never shown on public research pages. A research signal is not a REPICOM play.
