Model signal exists, but MCP consistency did not reach a qualifying band.
A positive gap is not a pick: qualification also requires confidence, edge, expected value and a sufficient sample — those rules are unchanged.
Source & method · as of Nov 1, 2:13 AM ET
Source
repicom_public_nfl_intelligence_v1 (NO PLAY research rows, read server-side)
Statistic
Probability of the evaluated side, in %
Calculation
Model = model_probability. Market = captured market_probability; if absent, implied from american_odds (−odds ÷ (−odds + 100), or 100 ÷ (odds + 100)). Gap = model − market, in percentage points. EV = p × (decimal − 1) − (1 − p) per 1u.
Sample
history_games on the row
Freshness
Read on every request (no cache); the market price is the one captured with the evaluation
Missing data
A missing probability or price shows “—” and no bar. Nothing is estimated.
Recent form · receptionsMeasured
∅
Recent formNot available yet — requires a verified non-qualified intelligence row for this player and market. REPICOM does not estimate missing data.
Source & method · as of Nov 1, 2:13 AM ET
Source
repicom_nfl_intelligence_v1 — non-qualified, unlocked rows only, joined on player + market (+ game_id)
Statistic
Games that cleared the line, out of the last 10 (count)
Calculation
recent10_hits ÷ recent10_games. Dots show the count, not the game order.
Game-by-game · real game logs vs the Hard Rock line
ReceptionsOver the line in 0 of last 6 with a Hard Rock line
2026 season
2.3
Last 5
2.2
Last 10
2.4
Home · Away
3.3 · 3.4
4
LV
3
LAC
1
KC
2
KC
3
JAX
3
LA
1
SF
2
LAC
2
SEA
3
ARI
Date
Opp
Receptions
Line
Oct 25
@ ARI
3
3.5
Under
Oct 15
vs SEA
2
2.5
Under
Oct 11
@ LAC
2
3.5
Under
Oct 4
@ SF
1
3.5
Under
Sep 27
vs LA
3
—
Sep 20
vs JAX
3
3.5
Under
Sep 14
@ KC
2
3.5
Under
Jan 8
vs KC
1
—
Jan 2
@ LAC
3
—
Dec 26
@ LV
4
—
Receiving yardsOver the line in 1 of last 6 with a Hard Rock line
2026 season
24.0
Last 5
26.4
Last 10
27.4
Home · Away
38.2 · 52.6
33
LV
60
LAC
13
KC
11
KC
25
JAX
46
LA
4
SF
18
LAC
19
SEA
45
ARI
Date
Opp
Receiving yards
Line
Oct 25
@ ARI
45
34.5
Over
Oct 15
vs SEA
19
31.5
Under
Oct 11
@ LAC
18
38.5
Under
Oct 4
@ SF
4
38.5
Under
Sep 27
vs LA
46
—
Sep 20
vs JAX
25
41.5
Under
Sep 14
@ KC
11
42.5
Under
Jan 8
vs KC
13
—
Jan 2
@ LAC
60
—
Dec 26
@ LV
33
—
Stats: nflverse game logs, regular season. Line: Hard Rock's final line before each game, when we captured one. Green bar = over the line, red = under.
SourcesResearch: repicom_public_nfl_intelligence_v1 (NO PLAY rows) · Form: repicom_nfl_intelligence_v1 (non-qualified rows only) · Read live at Nov 1, 2:13 AM ET.Member-qualified and locked player markets are never shown on public research pages. A research signal is not a REPICOM play.
