NFLNO PLAY research

Sione Vaki

Position and team not on the research feed

Next gameMinnesota Vikings @ Detroit LionsSun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM ETGame intelligence →

Historical sample Measured: 6 games
Last 10 · rushing yards Measured: —
MCP consistency Model: —
Markets evaluated: 2

Evidence · rushing yardsNO PLAY

Line Market 4.5

Price-115

Sportsbook—

REPICOM modelModel66.3%

Market impliedMarket53.5%

Model − market+12.8 ptsPrice -115

Edge Derived: +12.8 pts
EV per 1u Derived: +0.239u
Sample Measured: 6 g

REPICOM decisionNO PLAY

Model signal exists, but the player does not meet the 20-game publication history floor.

A positive gap is not a pick: qualification also requires confidence, edge, expected value and a sufficient sample — those rules are unchanged.

Source & method · as of Oct 29, 10:40 PM ET

Source: repicom_public_nfl_intelligence_v1 (NO PLAY research rows, read server-side)
Statistic: Probability of the evaluated side, in %
Calculation: Model = model_probability. Market = captured market_probability; if absent, implied from american_odds (−odds ÷ (−odds + 100), or 100 ÷ (odds + 100)). Gap = model − market, in percentage points. EV = p × (decimal − 1) − (1 − p) per 1u.
Sample: history_games on the row
Freshness: Read on every request (no cache); the market price is the one captured with the evaluation
Missing data: A missing probability or price shows “—” and no bar. Nothing is estimated.

Recent form · rushing yardsMeasured

Recent formNot available yet — requires a verified non-qualified intelligence row for this player and market. REPICOM does not estimate missing data.

Source & method · as of Oct 29, 10:40 PM ET

Source: repicom_nfl_intelligence_v1 — non-qualified, unlocked rows only, joined on player + market (+ game_id)
Statistic: Games that cleared the line, out of the last 10 (count)
Calculation: recent10_hits ÷ recent10_games. Dots show the count, not the game order.
Sample: recent10_games
Freshness: Read on every request (no cache)
Missing data: No confident join → “Recent form unavailable”.

Market map · every evaluated marketTap a market

REPICOM modelMarket impliedGap in pts

Compare playersPublic research only

Compare with

Sione Vaki

Jameson Williams

Historical sample

6 g10 g

Last-10 hit rate

—80%

Best model − market gap

+12.8 pts+13.4 pts

Markets evaluated

Open Jameson Williams

Game-by-game · real game logs vs the Hard Rock line

Rushing yardsOver the line in 1 of last 3 with a Hard Rock line

2026 season: 9.3
Last 5: 9.8
Last 10: 9.3
Home · Away: 12.7 · 6.0

BUF

NYJ

CAR

ARI

Date	Opp	Rushing yards	Line
Oct 25	vs GB	5	8.5	Under
Oct 11	@ ARI	11	8.5	Over
Oct 4	@ CAR	0	11.5	Under
Sep 27	vs NYJ	26	—
Sep 17	@ BUF	7	—
Sep 13	vs NO	7	—

ReceptionsNo Hard Rock lines in these games

2026 season: 0.7
Last 5: 0.6
Last 10: 0.7
Home · Away: 0.7 · 0.7

BUF

NYJ

CAR

ARI

Date	Opp	Receptions	Line
Oct 25	vs GB	0	—
Oct 11	@ ARI	0	—
Oct 4	@ CAR	1	—
Sep 27	vs NYJ	1	—
Sep 17	@ BUF	1	—
Sep 13	vs NO	1	—

Receiving yardsNo Hard Rock lines in these games

2026 season: 8.7
Last 5: 8.2
Last 10: 8.7
Home · Away: 7.3 · 10.0

BUF

NYJ

CAR

ARI

Date	Opp	Receiving yards	Line
Oct 25	vs GB	0	—
Oct 11	@ ARI	0	—
Oct 4	@ CAR	17	—
Sep 27	vs NYJ	11	—
Sep 17	@ BUF	13	—
Sep 13	vs NO	11	—

Stats: nflverse game logs, regular season. Line: Hard Rock's final line before each game, when we captured one. Green bar = over the line, red = under.

Also researched in this game8 players

Jameson Williamsreceiving yards8/10 last 10 Sam LaPortareceptions10 g sample Jordan Addisonreceptions6 g sample Kyler Murraypassing yards52 g sample Jahmyr Gibbsreceiving yards10 g sample T.J. Hockensonreceiving yards48 g sample Jauan Jenningsreceptions28 g sample Amon-Ra St. Brownreceiving yards26 g sample

SourcesResearch: repicom_public_nfl_intelligence_v1 (NO PLAY rows) · Form: repicom_nfl_intelligence_v1 (non-qualified rows only) · Read live at Oct 29, 10:40 PM ET.Member-qualified and locked player markets are never shown on public research pages. A research signal is not a REPICOM play.