Model signal exists, but the player does not meet the 20-game publication history floor.
A positive gap is not a pick: qualification also requires confidence, edge, expected value and a sufficient sample — those rules are unchanged.
Source & method · as of Oct 29, 5:12 PM ET
Source
repicom_public_nfl_intelligence_v1 (NO PLAY research rows, read server-side)
Statistic
Probability of the evaluated side, in %
Calculation
Model = model_probability. Market = captured market_probability; if absent, implied from american_odds (−odds ÷ (−odds + 100), or 100 ÷ (odds + 100)). Gap = model − market, in percentage points. EV = p × (decimal − 1) − (1 − p) per 1u.
Sample
history_games on the row
Freshness
Read on every request (no cache); the market price is the one captured with the evaluation
Missing data
A missing probability or price shows “—” and no bar. Nothing is estimated.
Recent form · receiving yardsMeasured
∅
Recent formNot available yet — requires a verified non-qualified intelligence row for this player and market. REPICOM does not estimate missing data.
Source & method · as of Oct 29, 5:12 PM ET
Source
repicom_nfl_intelligence_v1 — non-qualified, unlocked rows only, joined on player + market (+ game_id)
Statistic
Games that cleared the line, out of the last 10 (count)
Calculation
recent10_hits ÷ recent10_games. Dots show the count, not the game order.
Game-by-game · real game logs vs the Hard Rock line
Rushing yardsOver the line in 3 of last 5 with a Hard Rock line
2026 season
103.3
Last 5
92.8
Last 10
103.3
Home · Away
123.7 · 83.0
156
NO
52
BUF
99
NYJ
46
CAR
151
ARI
116
GB
Date
Opp
Rushing yards
Line
Oct 25
vs GB
116
94.5
Over
Oct 11
@ ARI
151
91.5
Over
Oct 4
@ CAR
46
98.5
Under
Sep 27
vs NYJ
99
—
Sep 17
@ BUF
52
87.5
Under
Sep 13
vs NO
156
83.5
Over
ReceptionsOver the line in 4 of last 5 with a Hard Rock line
2026 season
5.3
Last 5
5.4
Last 10
5.3
Home · Away
5.7 · 5.0
5
NO
6
BUF
7
NYJ
4
CAR
5
ARI
5
GB
Date
Opp
Receptions
Line
Oct 25
vs GB
5
4.5
Over
Oct 11
@ ARI
5
4.5
Over
Oct 4
@ CAR
4
4.5
Under
Sep 27
vs NYJ
7
—
Sep 17
@ BUF
6
4.5
Over
Sep 13
vs NO
5
4.5
Over
Receiving yardsOver the line in 2 of last 5 with a Hard Rock line
2026 season
45.0
Last 5
48.0
Last 10
45.0
Home · Away
40.7 · 49.3
30
NO
61
BUF
65
NYJ
31
CAR
56
ARI
27
GB
Date
Opp
Receiving yards
Line
Oct 25
vs GB
27
41.5
Under
Oct 11
@ ARI
56
38.5
Over
Oct 4
@ CAR
31
37.5
Under
Sep 27
vs NYJ
65
—
Sep 17
@ BUF
61
30.5
Over
Sep 13
vs NO
30
30.5
Under
Stats: nflverse game logs, regular season. Line: Hard Rock's final line before each game, when we captured one. Green bar = over the line, red = under.
SourcesResearch: repicom_public_nfl_intelligence_v1 (NO PLAY rows) · Form: repicom_nfl_intelligence_v1 (non-qualified rows only) · Read live at Oct 29, 5:12 PM ET.Member-qualified and locked player markets are never shown on public research pages. A research signal is not a REPICOM play.
