Model signal exists, but MCP consistency did not reach a qualifying band.
A positive gap is not a pick: qualification also requires confidence, edge, expected value and a sufficient sample — those rules are unchanged.
Source & method · as of Oct 29, 10:37 PM ET
Source
repicom_public_nfl_intelligence_v1 (NO PLAY research rows, read server-side)
Statistic
Probability of the evaluated side, in %
Calculation
Model = model_probability. Market = captured market_probability; if absent, implied from american_odds (−odds ÷ (−odds + 100), or 100 ÷ (odds + 100)). Gap = model − market, in percentage points. EV = p × (decimal − 1) − (1 − p) per 1u.
Sample
history_games on the row
Freshness
Read on every request (no cache); the market price is the one captured with the evaluation
Missing data
A missing probability or price shows “—” and no bar. Nothing is estimated.
Recent form · receptionsMeasured
∅
Recent formNot available yet — requires a verified non-qualified intelligence row for this player and market. REPICOM does not estimate missing data.
Source & method · as of Oct 29, 10:37 PM ET
Source
repicom_nfl_intelligence_v1 — non-qualified, unlocked rows only, joined on player + market (+ game_id)
Statistic
Games that cleared the line, out of the last 10 (count)
Calculation
recent10_hits ÷ recent10_games. Dots show the count, not the game order.
Game-by-game · real game logs vs the Hard Rock line
ReceptionsOver the line in 1 of last 3 with a Hard Rock line
2026 season
0.8
Last 5
0.8
Last 10
2.0
Home · Away
1.3 · 1.8
3
CIN
3
ATL
2
TEN
2
HOU
6
LA
0
GB
1
TB
1
MIA
0
NO
2
IND
Date
Opp
Receptions
Line
Oct 25
vs IND
2
0.5
Over
Oct 11
@ NO
0
—
Oct 4
vs MIA
1
2.5
Under
Sep 27
@ TB
1
1.5
Under
Sep 13
vs GB
0
—
Jan 9
@ LA
6
—
Jan 2
vs HOU
2
—
Dec 23
@ TEN
2
—
Dec 19
vs ATL
3
—
Dec 12
@ CIN
3
—
Receiving yardsOver the line in 1 of last 3 with a Hard Rock line
2026 season
8.6
Last 5
8.6
Last 10
25.5
Home · Away
15.1 · 21.0
46
CIN
28
ATL
19
TEN
25
HOU
94
LA
0
GB
1
TB
8
MIA
0
NO
34
IND
Date
Opp
Receiving yards
Line
Oct 25
vs IND
34
7.5
Over
Oct 11
@ NO
0
—
Oct 4
vs MIA
8
26.5
Under
Sep 27
@ TB
1
14.5
Under
Sep 13
vs GB
0
—
Jan 9
@ LA
94
—
Jan 2
vs HOU
25
—
Dec 23
@ TEN
19
—
Dec 19
vs ATL
28
—
Dec 12
@ CIN
46
—
Stats: nflverse game logs, regular season. Line: Hard Rock's final line before each game, when we captured one. Green bar = over the line, red = under.
SourcesResearch: repicom_public_nfl_intelligence_v1 (NO PLAY rows) · Form: repicom_nfl_intelligence_v1 (non-qualified rows only) · Read live at Oct 29, 10:37 PM ET.Member-qualified and locked player markets are never shown on public research pages. A research signal is not a REPICOM play.
