Model signal exists, but the player does not meet the 20-game publication history floor.
A positive gap is not a pick: qualification also requires confidence, edge, expected value and a sufficient sample — those rules are unchanged.
Source & method · as of Oct 29, 3:50 AM ET
Source
repicom_public_nfl_intelligence_v1 (NO PLAY research rows, read server-side)
Statistic
Probability of the evaluated side, in %
Calculation
Model = model_probability. Market = captured market_probability; if absent, implied from american_odds (−odds ÷ (−odds + 100), or 100 ÷ (odds + 100)). Gap = model − market, in percentage points. EV = p × (decimal − 1) − (1 − p) per 1u.
Sample
history_games on the row
Freshness
Read on every request (no cache); the market price is the one captured with the evaluation
Missing data
A missing probability or price shows “—” and no bar. Nothing is estimated.
Recent form · rushing yardsMeasured
∅
Recent formNot available yet — requires a verified non-qualified intelligence row for this player and market. REPICOM does not estimate missing data.
Source & method · as of Oct 29, 3:50 AM ET
Source
repicom_nfl_intelligence_v1 — non-qualified, unlocked rows only, joined on player + market (+ game_id)
Statistic
Games that cleared the line, out of the last 10 (count)
Calculation
recent10_hits ÷ recent10_games. Dots show the count, not the game order.
Game-by-game · real game logs vs the Hard Rock line
Rushing yardsOver the line in 1 of last 5 with a Hard Rock line
2026 season
52.8
Last 5
56.8
Last 10
52.8
Home · Away
61.5 · 48.5
33
JAX
21
TB
70
CAR
53
PIT
44
NYJ
96
TEN
Date
Opp
Rushing yards
Line
Oct 25
@ TEN
96
46.5
Over
Oct 11
@ NYJ
44
59.5
Under
Oct 1
vs PIT
53
55.5
Under
Sep 27
vs CAR
70
—
Sep 20
@ TB
21
47.5
Under
Sep 13
@ JAX
33
57.5
Under
ReceptionsOver the line in 4 of last 5 with a Hard Rock line
2026 season
3.2
Last 5
3.4
Last 10
3.2
Home · Away
4.0 · 2.8
2
JAX
5
TB
2
CAR
6
PIT
3
NYJ
1
TEN
Date
Opp
Receptions
Line
Oct 25
@ TEN
1
2.5
Under
Oct 11
@ NYJ
3
2.5
Over
Oct 1
vs PIT
6
1.5
Over
Sep 27
vs CAR
2
—
Sep 20
@ TB
5
1.5
Over
Sep 13
@ JAX
2
1.5
Over
Receiving yardsOver the line in 3 of last 5 with a Hard Rock line
2026 season
18.3
Last 5
18.6
Last 10
18.3
Home · Away
26.0 · 14.5
17
JAX
27
TB
9
CAR
43
PIT
6
NYJ
8
TEN
Date
Opp
Receiving yards
Line
Oct 25
@ TEN
8
10.5
Under
Oct 11
@ NYJ
6
15.5
Under
Oct 1
vs PIT
43
12.5
Over
Sep 27
vs CAR
9
—
Sep 20
@ TB
27
11.5
Over
Sep 13
@ JAX
17
10.5
Over
Stats: nflverse game logs, regular season. Line: Hard Rock's final line before each game, when we captured one. Green bar = over the line, red = under.
SourcesResearch: repicom_public_nfl_intelligence_v1 (NO PLAY rows) · Form: repicom_nfl_intelligence_v1 (non-qualified rows only) · Read live at Oct 29, 3:50 AM ET.Member-qualified and locked player markets are never shown on public research pages. A research signal is not a REPICOM play.
