Model signal exists, but the player does not meet the 20-game publication history floor.
A positive gap is not a pick: qualification also requires confidence, edge, expected value and a sufficient sample — those rules are unchanged.
Source & method · as of Oct 29, 3:45 AM ET
Source
repicom_public_nfl_intelligence_v1 (NO PLAY research rows, read server-side)
Statistic
Probability of the evaluated side, in %
Calculation
Model = model_probability. Market = captured market_probability; if absent, implied from american_odds (−odds ÷ (−odds + 100), or 100 ÷ (odds + 100)). Gap = model − market, in percentage points. EV = p × (decimal − 1) − (1 − p) per 1u.
Sample
history_games on the row
Freshness
Read on every request (no cache); the market price is the one captured with the evaluation
Missing data
A missing probability or price shows “—” and no bar. Nothing is estimated.
Recent form · receiving yardsMeasured
∅
Recent formNot available yet — requires a verified non-qualified intelligence row for this player and market. REPICOM does not estimate missing data.
Source & method · as of Oct 29, 3:45 AM ET
Source
repicom_nfl_intelligence_v1 — non-qualified, unlocked rows only, joined on player + market (+ game_id)
Statistic
Games that cleared the line, out of the last 10 (count)
Calculation
recent10_hits ÷ recent10_games. Dots show the count, not the game order.
Game-by-game · real game logs vs the Hard Rock line
Rushing yardsOver the line in 6 of last 7 with a Hard Rock line
2026 season
80.1
Last 5
94.4
Last 10
80.1
Home · Away
91.3 · 71.8
46
ATL
43
NE
127
CIN
93
CLE
101
IND
50
TB
101
NO
Date
Opp
Rushing yards
Line
Oct 25
@ NO
101
66.5
Over
Oct 18
@ TB
50
60.5
Under
Oct 11
vs IND
101
69.5
Over
Oct 1
@ CLE
93
73.5
Over
Sep 27
vs CIN
127
57.5
Over
Sep 20
@ NE
43
40.5
Over
Sep 13
vs ATL
46
40.5
Over
ReceptionsOver the line in 2 of last 7 with a Hard Rock line
2026 season
3.4
Last 5
3.4
Last 10
3.4
Home · Away
4.7 · 2.5
5
ATL
2
NE
3
CIN
3
CLE
6
IND
2
TB
3
NO
Date
Opp
Receptions
Line
Oct 25
@ NO
3
3.5
Under
Oct 18
@ TB
2
3.5
Under
Oct 11
vs IND
6
2.5
Over
Oct 1
@ CLE
3
3.5
Under
Sep 27
vs CIN
3
3.5
Under
Sep 20
@ NE
2
3.5
Under
Sep 13
vs ATL
5
2.5
Over
Receiving yardsOver the line in 6 of last 7 with a Hard Rock line
2026 season
42.0
Last 5
46.6
Last 10
42.0
Home · Away
54.3 · 32.8
27
ATL
34
NE
49
CIN
33
CLE
87
IND
28
TB
36
NO
Date
Opp
Receiving yards
Line
Oct 25
@ NO
36
25.5
Over
Oct 18
@ TB
28
28.5
Under
Oct 11
vs IND
87
20.5
Over
Oct 1
@ CLE
33
25.5
Over
Sep 27
vs CIN
49
26.5
Over
Sep 20
@ NE
34
18.5
Over
Sep 13
vs ATL
27
15.5
Over
Stats: nflverse game logs, regular season. Line: Hard Rock's final line before each game, when we captured one. Green bar = over the line, red = under.
SourcesResearch: repicom_public_nfl_intelligence_v1 (NO PLAY rows) · Form: repicom_nfl_intelligence_v1 (non-qualified rows only) · Read live at Oct 29, 3:45 AM ET.Member-qualified and locked player markets are never shown on public research pages. A research signal is not a REPICOM play.
