Model signal exists, but the player does not meet the 20-game publication history floor.
A positive gap is not a pick: qualification also requires confidence, edge, expected value and a sufficient sample — those rules are unchanged.
Source & method · as of Oct 29, 3:48 AM ET
Source
repicom_public_nfl_intelligence_v1 (NO PLAY research rows, read server-side)
Statistic
Probability of the evaluated side, in %
Calculation
Model = model_probability. Market = captured market_probability; if absent, implied from american_odds (−odds ÷ (−odds + 100), or 100 ÷ (odds + 100)). Gap = model − market, in percentage points. EV = p × (decimal − 1) − (1 − p) per 1u.
Sample
history_games on the row
Freshness
Read on every request (no cache); the market price is the one captured with the evaluation
Missing data
A missing probability or price shows “—” and no bar. Nothing is estimated.
Recent form · receptionsMeasured
∅
Recent formNot available yet — requires a verified non-qualified intelligence row for this player and market. REPICOM does not estimate missing data.
Source & method · as of Oct 29, 3:48 AM ET
Source
repicom_nfl_intelligence_v1 — non-qualified, unlocked rows only, joined on player + market (+ game_id)
Statistic
Games that cleared the line, out of the last 10 (count)
Calculation
recent10_hits ÷ recent10_games. Dots show the count, not the game order.
Game-by-game · real game logs vs the Hard Rock line
ReceptionsOver the line in 4 of last 7 with a Hard Rock line
2026 season
2.3
Last 5
2.6
Last 10
2.3
Home · Away
2.3 · 2.3
2
ATL
1
NE
3
CIN
3
CLE
2
IND
4
TB
1
NO
Date
Opp
Receptions
Line
Oct 25
@ NO
1
2.5
Under
Oct 18
@ TB
4
2.5
Over
Oct 11
vs IND
2
2.5
Under
Oct 1
@ CLE
3
2.5
Over
Sep 27
vs CIN
3
1.5
Over
Sep 20
@ NE
1
1.5
Under
Sep 13
vs ATL
2
1.5
Over
Receiving yardsOver the line in 3 of last 7 with a Hard Rock line
2026 season
22.9
Last 5
27.0
Last 10
22.9
Home · Away
32.3 · 15.8
18
ATL
7
NE
67
CIN
27
CLE
12
IND
25
TB
4
NO
Date
Opp
Receiving yards
Line
Oct 25
@ NO
4
24.5
Under
Oct 18
@ TB
25
25.5
Under
Oct 11
vs IND
12
22.5
Under
Oct 1
@ CLE
27
17.5
Over
Sep 27
vs CIN
67
15.5
Over
Sep 20
@ NE
7
16.5
Under
Sep 13
vs ATL
18
15.5
Over
Stats: nflverse game logs, regular season. Line: Hard Rock's final line before each game, when we captured one. Green bar = over the line, red = under.
SourcesResearch: repicom_public_nfl_intelligence_v1 (NO PLAY rows) · Form: repicom_nfl_intelligence_v1 (non-qualified rows only) · Read live at Oct 29, 3:48 AM ET.Member-qualified and locked player markets are never shown on public research pages. A research signal is not a REPICOM play.
