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NFLNO PLAY research

Jerry Jeudy

Position and team not on the research feed

Next gameCleveland Browns @ Pittsburgh SteelersSun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM ETGame intelligence →
Historical sample Measured
32 games
Last 10 · receptions Measured
8/10
MCP consistency Model
42.9
Markets evaluated
4
Evidence · receptionsNO PLAY
Line MarketOVER 2.5
Price+135
Sportsbook—
REPICOM modelModel53.9%
Market impliedMarket42.6%
Model − market+11.3 ptsPrice +135
Edge Derived
+11.3 pts
EV per 1u Derived
+0.267u
Sample Measured
32 g
REPICOM decisionNO PLAY

Model signal exists, but MCP consistency did not reach a qualifying band.

A positive gap is not a pick: qualification also requires confidence, edge, expected value and a sufficient sample — those rules are unchanged.
Source & method · as of Oct 29, 3:49 AM ET
Source
repicom_public_nfl_intelligence_v1 (NO PLAY research rows, read server-side)
Statistic
Probability of the evaluated side, in %
Calculation
Model = model_probability. Market = captured market_probability; if absent, implied from american_odds (−odds ÷ (−odds + 100), or 100 ÷ (odds + 100)). Gap = model − market, in percentage points. EV = p × (decimal − 1) − (1 − p) per 1u.
Sample
history_games on the row
Freshness
Read on every request (no cache); the market price is the one captured with the evaluation
Missing data
A missing probability or price shows “—” and no bar. Nothing is estimated.
Recent form · receptionsMeasured
Cleared the line, last 108/1080%
Count of hits in the sample, not an ordered game log.
Current miss streak
0
MCP consistency Model
42.9
Line on record
2.5
Source & method · as of Oct 29, 3:49 AM ET
Source
repicom_nfl_intelligence_v1 — non-qualified, unlocked rows only, joined on player + market (+ game_id)
Statistic
Games that cleared the line, out of the last 10 (count)
Calculation
recent10_hits ÷ recent10_games. Dots show the count, not the game order.
Sample
recent10_games
Freshness
Read on every request (no cache)
Missing data
No confident join → “Recent form unavailable”.
Market map · every evaluated marketTap a market
REPICOM modelMarket impliedGap in pts
Compare playersPublic research only
Jerry Jeudy
Rico Dowdle
Historical sample
32 g11 g
Last-10 hit rate
80%80%
Best model − market gap
+11.3 pts+13.9 pts
Markets evaluated
42
Open Rico Dowdle
Game-by-game · real game logs vs the Hard Rock line
ReceptionsOver the line in 4 of last 5 with a Hard Rock line
2026 season
2.7
Last 5
2.8
Last 10
2.6
Home · Away
3.1 · 3.5
DateOppReceptionsLine
Oct 25@ TEN41.5Over
Oct 18vs BAL41.5Over
Oct 11@ NYJ31.5Over
Oct 1vs PIT31.5Over
Sep 20@ TB02.5Under
Sep 13@ JAX2—
Jan 8vs KC2—
Dec 26@ LV3—
Dec 19vs CIN0—
Dec 12vs DET5—
Receiving yardsOver the line in 4 of last 5 with a Hard Rock line
2026 season
28.5
Last 5
29.0
Last 10
30.8
Home · Away
43.4 · 50.0
DateOppReceiving yardsLine
Oct 25@ TEN2120.5Over
Oct 18vs BAL6915.5Over
Oct 11@ NYJ1914.5Over
Oct 1vs PIT3613.5Over
Sep 20@ TB029.5Under
Sep 13@ JAX26—
Jan 8vs KC30—
Dec 26@ LV60—
Dec 19vs CIN0—
Dec 12vs DET47—

Stats: nflverse game logs, regular season. Line: Hard Rock's final line before each game, when we captured one. Green bar = over the line, red = under.

Also researched in this game8 players
Rico Dowdlerushing yards8/10 last 10Denzel Bostonreceptions7 g sampleJaylen Warrenreceiving yards10 g samplePat Freiermuthreceptions27 g sampleDarnell Washingtonreceptions9 g sampleAaron Rodgerspassing yards103 g sampleGermie Bernardreceiving yards6 g sampleDK Metcalfreceptions61 g sample
SourcesResearch: repicom_public_nfl_intelligence_v1 (NO PLAY rows) · Form: repicom_nfl_intelligence_v1 (non-qualified rows only) · Read live at Oct 29, 3:49 AM ET.Member-qualified and locked player markets are never shown on public research pages. A research signal is not a REPICOM play.