Model signal exists, but the player does not meet the 20-game publication history floor.
A positive gap is not a pick: qualification also requires confidence, edge, expected value and a sufficient sample — those rules are unchanged.
Source & method · as of Oct 28, 3:36 PM ET
Source
repicom_public_nfl_intelligence_v1 (NO PLAY research rows, read server-side)
Statistic
Probability of the evaluated side, in %
Calculation
Model = model_probability. Market = captured market_probability; if absent, implied from american_odds (−odds ÷ (−odds + 100), or 100 ÷ (odds + 100)). Gap = model − market, in percentage points. EV = p × (decimal − 1) − (1 − p) per 1u.
Sample
history_games on the row
Freshness
Read on every request (no cache); the market price is the one captured with the evaluation
Missing data
A missing probability or price shows “—” and no bar. Nothing is estimated.
Recent form · receptionsMeasured
∅
Recent formNot available yet — requires a verified non-qualified intelligence row for this player and market. REPICOM does not estimate missing data.
Source & method · as of Oct 28, 3:36 PM ET
Source
repicom_nfl_intelligence_v1 — non-qualified, unlocked rows only, joined on player + market (+ game_id)
Statistic
Games that cleared the line, out of the last 10 (count)
Calculation
recent10_hits ÷ recent10_games. Dots show the count, not the game order.
Game-by-game · real game logs vs the Hard Rock line
ReceptionsOver the line in 3 of last 6 with a Hard Rock line
2026 season
4.3
Last 5
4.2
Last 10
4.3
Home · Away
4.5 · 4.0
5
CLE
7
DEN
3
NE
1
CIN
6
PHI
4
HOU
Date
Opp
Receptions
Line
Oct 18
vs HOU
4
4.5
Under
Oct 11
vs PHI
6
4.5
Over
Oct 4
@ CIN
1
5.5
Under
Sep 27
vs NE
3
5.5
Under
Sep 20
@ DEN
7
4.5
Over
Sep 13
vs CLE
5
4.5
Over
Receiving yardsOver the line in 3 of last 6 with a Hard Rock line
2026 season
69.3
Last 5
66.6
Last 10
69.3
Home · Away
77.8 · 52.5
83
CLE
98
DEN
40
NE
7
CIN
124
PHI
64
HOU
Date
Opp
Receiving yards
Line
Oct 18
vs HOU
64
66.5
Under
Oct 11
vs PHI
124
62.5
Over
Oct 4
@ CIN
7
73.5
Under
Sep 27
vs NE
40
68.5
Under
Sep 20
@ DEN
98
54.5
Over
Sep 13
vs CLE
83
51.5
Over
Stats: nflverse game logs, regular season. Line: Hard Rock's final line before each game, when we captured one. Green bar = over the line, red = under.
SourcesResearch: repicom_public_nfl_intelligence_v1 (NO PLAY rows) · Form: repicom_nfl_intelligence_v1 (non-qualified rows only) · Read live at Oct 28, 3:36 PM ET.Member-qualified and locked player markets are never shown on public research pages. A research signal is not a REPICOM play.
