Model signal exists, but the player does not meet the 20-game publication history floor.
A positive gap is not a pick: qualification also requires confidence, edge, expected value and a sufficient sample — those rules are unchanged.
Source & method · as of Oct 28, 3:37 PM ET
Source
repicom_public_nfl_intelligence_v1 (NO PLAY research rows, read server-side)
Statistic
Probability of the evaluated side, in %
Calculation
Model = model_probability. Market = captured market_probability; if absent, implied from american_odds (−odds ÷ (−odds + 100), or 100 ÷ (odds + 100)). Gap = model − market, in percentage points. EV = p × (decimal − 1) − (1 − p) per 1u.
Sample
history_games on the row
Freshness
Read on every request (no cache); the market price is the one captured with the evaluation
Missing data
A missing probability or price shows “—” and no bar. Nothing is estimated.
Recent form · rushing yardsMeasured
∅
Recent formNot available yet — requires a verified non-qualified intelligence row for this player and market. REPICOM does not estimate missing data.
Source & method · as of Oct 28, 3:37 PM ET
Source
repicom_nfl_intelligence_v1 — non-qualified, unlocked rows only, joined on player + market (+ game_id)
Statistic
Games that cleared the line, out of the last 10 (count)
Calculation
recent10_hits ÷ recent10_games. Dots show the count, not the game order.
Game-by-game · real game logs vs the Hard Rock line
Rushing yardsOver the line in 3 of last 5 with a Hard Rock line
2026 season
28.0
Last 5
29.0
Last 10
28.0
Home · Away
30.0 · 24.0
23
CLE
13
DEN
37
NE
35
CIN
5
PHI
55
HOU
Date
Opp
Rushing yards
Line
Oct 18
vs HOU
55
14.5
Over
Oct 11
vs PHI
5
26.5
Under
Oct 4
@ CIN
35
20.5
Over
Sep 27
vs NE
37
20.5
Over
Sep 20
@ DEN
13
24.5
Under
Sep 13
vs CLE
23
—
ReceptionsNo Hard Rock lines in these games
2026 season
0.2
Last 5
0.2
Last 10
0.2
Home · Away
0.3 · 0.0
0
CLE
0
DEN
0
NE
0
CIN
1
PHI
0
HOU
Date
Opp
Receptions
Line
Oct 18
vs HOU
0
—
Oct 11
vs PHI
1
—
Oct 4
@ CIN
0
—
Sep 27
vs NE
0
—
Sep 20
@ DEN
0
—
Sep 13
vs CLE
0
—
Receiving yardsNo Hard Rock lines in these games
2026 season
1.0
Last 5
1.2
Last 10
1.0
Home · Away
1.5 · 0.0
0
CLE
0
DEN
0
NE
0
CIN
6
PHI
0
HOU
Date
Opp
Receiving yards
Line
Oct 18
vs HOU
0
—
Oct 11
vs PHI
6
—
Oct 4
@ CIN
0
—
Sep 27
vs NE
0
—
Sep 20
@ DEN
0
—
Sep 13
vs CLE
0
—
Stats: nflverse game logs, regular season. Line: Hard Rock's final line before each game, when we captured one. Green bar = over the line, red = under.
SourcesResearch: repicom_public_nfl_intelligence_v1 (NO PLAY rows) · Form: repicom_nfl_intelligence_v1 (non-qualified rows only) · Read live at Oct 28, 3:37 PM ET.Member-qualified and locked player markets are never shown on public research pages. A research signal is not a REPICOM play.