NFLNO PLAY research

Keenan Allen

Position and team not on the research feed

Next gameIndianapolis Colts @ Jacksonville JaguarsSun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM ETGame intelligence →

Historical sample Measured: 88 games
Last 10 · receiving yards Measured: —
MCP consistency Model: —
Markets evaluated: 4

Evidence · receiving yardsNO PLAY

Line Market 45.5

Price-115

Sportsbook—

REPICOM modelModel53.8%

Market impliedMarket53.5%

Model − market+0.3 ptsPrice -115

Edge Derived: +0.3 pts
EV per 1u Derived: +0.006u
Sample Measured: 88 g

REPICOM decisionNO PLAY

Model confidence is below the 60% NFL qualification floor.

A positive gap is not a pick: qualification also requires confidence, edge, expected value and a sufficient sample — those rules are unchanged.

Source & method · as of Oct 29, 10:38 PM ET

Source: repicom_public_nfl_intelligence_v1 (NO PLAY research rows, read server-side)
Statistic: Probability of the evaluated side, in %
Calculation: Model = model_probability. Market = captured market_probability; if absent, implied from american_odds (−odds ÷ (−odds + 100), or 100 ÷ (odds + 100)). Gap = model − market, in percentage points. EV = p × (decimal − 1) − (1 − p) per 1u.
Sample: history_games on the row
Freshness: Read on every request (no cache); the market price is the one captured with the evaluation
Missing data: A missing probability or price shows “—” and no bar. Nothing is estimated.

Recent form · receiving yardsMeasured

Recent formNot available yet — requires a verified non-qualified intelligence row for this player and market. REPICOM does not estimate missing data.

Source & method · as of Oct 29, 10:38 PM ET

Source: repicom_nfl_intelligence_v1 — non-qualified, unlocked rows only, joined on player + market (+ game_id)
Statistic: Games that cleared the line, out of the last 10 (count)
Calculation: recent10_hits ÷ recent10_games. Dots show the count, not the game order.
Sample: recent10_games
Freshness: Read on every request (no cache)
Missing data: No confident join → “Recent form unavailable”.

Market map · every evaluated marketTap a market

REPICOM modelMarket impliedGap in pts

Compare playersPublic research only

Compare with

Keenan Allen

Bhayshul Tuten

Historical sample

88 g7 g

Last-10 hit rate

—86%

Best model − market gap

+1.9 pts+9.1 pts

Markets evaluated

Open Bhayshul Tuten

Game-by-game · real game logs vs the Hard Rock line

ReceptionsOver the line in 3 of last 4 with a Hard Rock line

2026 season: 4.8
Last 5: 4.6
Last 10: 4.9
Home · Away: 7.8 · 5.4

HOU

DEN

BAL

HOU

PIT

TEN

MIN

Date	Opp	Receptions	Line
Oct 25	@ MIN	3	5.5	Under
Oct 18	vs TEN	8	4.5	Over
Oct 11	@ PIT	5	3.5	Over
Sep 27	vs HOU	6	3.5	Over
Sep 20	@ KC	1	—
Sep 13	vs BAL	6	—
Jan 9	@ LV	6	—
Jan 2	vs DEN	4	—
Dec 26	@ HOU	4	—
Dec 16	vs KC	6	—

Receiving yardsOver the line in 3 of last 4 with a Hard Rock line

2026 season: 43.0
Last 5: 45.2
Last 10: 46.7
Home · Away: 82.9 · 49.7

HOU

DEN

BAL

HOU

PIT

TEN

MIN

Date	Opp	Receiving yards	Line
Oct 25	@ MIN	31	41.5	Under
Oct 18	vs TEN	82	43.5	Over
Oct 11	@ PIT	45	30.5	Over
Sep 27	vs HOU	63	33.5	Over
Sep 20	@ KC	5	—
Sep 13	vs BAL	32	—
Jan 9	@ LV	52	—
Jan 2	vs DEN	44	—
Dec 26	@ HOU	35	—
Dec 16	vs KC	78	—

Stats: nflverse game logs, regular season. Line: Hard Rock's final line before each game, when we captured one. Green bar = over the line, red = under.

Also researched in this game8 players

Bhayshul Tutenreceptions6/7 last 10 Jonathan Taylorrushing yards9/10 last 10 Tyler Warrenreceptions5 g sample Jakobi Meyersreceiving yards47 g sample Daniel Jonespassing yards47 g sample Parker Washingtonreceptions7 g sample Brenton Strangereceiving yards7 g sample Seth McGowanrushing yards7 g sample

SourcesResearch: repicom_public_nfl_intelligence_v1 (NO PLAY rows) · Form: repicom_nfl_intelligence_v1 (non-qualified rows only) · Read live at Oct 29, 10:38 PM ET.Member-qualified and locked player markets are never shown on public research pages. A research signal is not a REPICOM play.