NFLNO PLAY research

Harold Fannin Jr.

Position and team not on the research feed

Next gameCleveland Browns @ Pittsburgh SteelersSun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM ETGame intelligence →

Historical sample Measured: 7 games
Last 10 · receiving yards Measured: —
MCP consistency Model: —
Markets evaluated: 4

Evidence · receiving yardsNO PLAY

Line Market 31.5

Price-110

Sportsbook—

REPICOM modelModel54.1%

Market impliedMarket52.4%

Model − market+1.8 ptsPrice -110

Edge Derived: +1.8 pts
EV per 1u Derived: +0.034u
Sample Measured: 7 g

REPICOM decisionNO PLAY

Model signal exists, but the player does not meet the 20-game publication history floor.

A positive gap is not a pick: qualification also requires confidence, edge, expected value and a sufficient sample — those rules are unchanged.

Source & method · as of Oct 29, 3:49 AM ET

Source: repicom_public_nfl_intelligence_v1 (NO PLAY research rows, read server-side)
Statistic: Probability of the evaluated side, in %
Calculation: Model = model_probability. Market = captured market_probability; if absent, implied from american_odds (−odds ÷ (−odds + 100), or 100 ÷ (odds + 100)). Gap = model − market, in percentage points. EV = p × (decimal − 1) − (1 − p) per 1u.
Sample: history_games on the row
Freshness: Read on every request (no cache); the market price is the one captured with the evaluation
Missing data: A missing probability or price shows “—” and no bar. Nothing is estimated.

Recent form · receiving yardsMeasured

Recent formNot available yet — requires a verified non-qualified intelligence row for this player and market. REPICOM does not estimate missing data.

Source & method · as of Oct 29, 3:49 AM ET

Source: repicom_nfl_intelligence_v1 — non-qualified, unlocked rows only, joined on player + market (+ game_id)
Statistic: Games that cleared the line, out of the last 10 (count)
Calculation: recent10_hits ÷ recent10_games. Dots show the count, not the game order.
Sample: recent10_games
Freshness: Read on every request (no cache)
Missing data: No confident join → “Recent form unavailable”.

Market map · every evaluated marketTap a market

REPICOM modelMarket impliedGap in pts

Compare playersPublic research only

Compare with

Harold Fannin Jr.

Rico Dowdle

Historical sample

7 g11 g

Last-10 hit rate

—80%

Best model − market gap

+3.4 pts+13.9 pts

Markets evaluated

Open Rico Dowdle

Game-by-game · real game logs vs the Hard Rock line

ReceptionsOver the line in 2 of last 6 with a Hard Rock line

2026 season: 3.6
Last 5: 3.6
Last 10: 3.6
Home · Away: 3.7 · 3.5

JAX

CAR

PIT

NYJ

BAL

TEN

Date	Opp	Receptions	Line
Oct 25	@ TEN	6	3.5	Over
Oct 18	vs BAL	1	4.5	Under
Oct 11	@ NYJ	1	4.5	Under
Oct 1	vs PIT	3	4.5	Under
Sep 27	vs CAR	7	—
Sep 20	@ TB	5	3.5	Over
Sep 13	@ JAX	2	4.5	Under

Receiving yardsOver the line in 2 of last 6 with a Hard Rock line

2026 season: 36.7
Last 5: 36.4
Last 10: 36.7
Home · Away: 29.0 · 42.5

JAX

CAR

PIT

NYJ

BAL

TEN

Date	Opp	Receiving yards	Line
Oct 25	@ TEN	91	29.5	Over
Oct 18	vs BAL	9	36.5	Under
Oct 11	@ NYJ	4	35.5	Under
Oct 1	vs PIT	27	40.5	Under
Sep 27	vs CAR	51	—
Sep 20	@ TB	54	34.5	Over
Sep 13	@ JAX	21	35.5	Under

Stats: nflverse game logs, regular season. Line: Hard Rock's final line before each game, when we captured one. Green bar = over the line, red = under.

Also researched in this game8 players

Rico Dowdlerushing yards8/10 last 10 Denzel Bostonreceptions7 g sample Jaylen Warrenreceiving yards10 g sample Pat Freiermuthreceptions27 g sample Jerry Jeudyreceptions8/10 last 10 Darnell Washingtonreceptions9 g sample Aaron Rodgerspassing yards103 g sample Germie Bernardreceiving yards6 g sample

SourcesResearch: repicom_public_nfl_intelligence_v1 (NO PLAY rows) · Form: repicom_nfl_intelligence_v1 (non-qualified rows only) · Read live at Oct 29, 3:49 AM ET.Member-qualified and locked player markets are never shown on public research pages. A research signal is not a REPICOM play.