NFLNO PLAY research

Calvin Ridley

Position and team not on the research feed

Next gameTennessee Titans @ Cincinnati BengalsSun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM ETGame intelligence →

Historical sample Measured: 54 games
Last 10 · receiving yards Measured: —
MCP consistency Model: —
Markets evaluated: 4

Evidence · receiving yardsNO PLAY

Line Market 24.5

Price-115

Sportsbook—

REPICOM modelModel65.9%

Market impliedMarket53.5%

Model − market+12.4 ptsPrice -115

Edge Derived: +12.4 pts
EV per 1u Derived: +0.231u
Sample Measured: 54 g

REPICOM decisionNO PLAY

Model signal exists, but MCP consistency did not reach a qualifying band.

A positive gap is not a pick: qualification also requires confidence, edge, expected value and a sufficient sample — those rules are unchanged.

Source & method · as of Oct 31, 12:39 AM ET

Source: repicom_public_nfl_intelligence_v1 (NO PLAY research rows, read server-side)
Statistic: Probability of the evaluated side, in %
Calculation: Model = model_probability. Market = captured market_probability; if absent, implied from american_odds (−odds ÷ (−odds + 100), or 100 ÷ (odds + 100)). Gap = model − market, in percentage points. EV = p × (decimal − 1) − (1 − p) per 1u.
Sample: history_games on the row
Freshness: Read on every request (no cache); the market price is the one captured with the evaluation
Missing data: A missing probability or price shows “—” and no bar. Nothing is estimated.

Recent form · receiving yardsMeasured

Recent formNot available yet — requires a verified non-qualified intelligence row for this player and market. REPICOM does not estimate missing data.

Source & method · as of Oct 31, 12:39 AM ET

Source: repicom_nfl_intelligence_v1 — non-qualified, unlocked rows only, joined on player + market (+ game_id)
Statistic: Games that cleared the line, out of the last 10 (count)
Calculation: recent10_hits ÷ recent10_games. Dots show the count, not the game order.
Sample: recent10_games
Freshness: Read on every request (no cache)
Missing data: No confident join → “Recent form unavailable”.

Market map · every evaluated marketTap a market

REPICOM modelMarket impliedGap in pts

Compare playersPublic research only

Compare with

Calvin Ridley

Cam Ward

Historical sample

54 g7 g

Last-10 hit rate

—86%

Best model − market gap

+14.3 pts+14.7 pts

Markets evaluated

Open Cam Ward

Game-by-game · real game logs vs the Hard Rock line

ReceptionsOver the line in 2 of last 4 with a Hard Rock line

2026 season: 1.0
Last 5: 1.0
Last 10: 3.6
Home · Away: 5.7 · 4.6

PHI

NYG

WAS

MIA

PHI

NYG

BAL

HOU

IND

Date	Opp	Receptions	Line
Oct 18	@ IND	0	1.5	Under
Oct 11	vs HOU	2	0.5	Over
Oct 4	@ BAL	1	0.5	Over
Sep 27	@ NYG	0	1.5	Under
Sep 20	vs PHI	2	—
Oct 24	@ MIA	4	—
Oct 3	vs WAS	7	—
Sep 26	@ NYG	8	—
Sep 19	@ TB	7	—
Sep 12	vs PHI	5	—

Receiving yardsOver the line in 2 of last 4 with a Hard Rock line

2026 season: 16.2
Last 5: 16.2
Last 10: 36.2
Home · Away: 82.3 · 59.9

PHI

NYG

WAS

MIA

PHI

NYG

BAL

HOU

IND

Date	Opp	Receiving yards	Line
Oct 18	@ IND	0	13.5	Under
Oct 11	vs HOU	33	8.5	Over
Oct 4	@ BAL	13	6.5	Over
Sep 27	@ NYG	0	14.5	Under
Sep 20	vs PHI	35	—
Oct 24	@ MIA	26	—
Oct 3	vs WAS	80	—
Sep 26	@ NYG	61	—
Sep 19	@ TB	63	—
Sep 12	vs PHI	51	—

Stats: nflverse game logs, regular season. Line: Hard Rock's final line before each game, when we captured one. Green bar = over the line, red = under.

Also researched in this game8 players

Cam Wardpassing yards6/7 last 10 Daniel Bellingerreceptions7/9 last 10 Samaje Perinerushing yards9/10 last 10 Drew Samplereceptions36 g sample Ja'Marr Chasereceptions30 g sample Tony Pollardreceptions56 g sample Elic Ayomanorreceiving yards7 g sample Wan'Dale Robinsonreceiving yards7 g sample

SourcesResearch: repicom_public_nfl_intelligence_v1 (NO PLAY rows) · Form: repicom_nfl_intelligence_v1 (non-qualified rows only) · Read live at Oct 31, 12:39 AM ET.Member-qualified and locked player markets are never shown on public research pages. A research signal is not a REPICOM play.