Model signal exists, but the player does not meet the 20-game publication history floor.
A positive gap is not a pick: qualification also requires confidence, edge, expected value and a sufficient sample — those rules are unchanged.
Source & method · as of Oct 29, 3:50 AM ET
Source
repicom_public_nfl_intelligence_v1 (NO PLAY research rows, read server-side)
Statistic
Probability of the evaluated side, in %
Calculation
Model = model_probability. Market = captured market_probability; if absent, implied from american_odds (−odds ÷ (−odds + 100), or 100 ÷ (odds + 100)). Gap = model − market, in percentage points. EV = p × (decimal − 1) − (1 − p) per 1u.
Sample
history_games on the row
Freshness
Read on every request (no cache); the market price is the one captured with the evaluation
Missing data
A missing probability or price shows “—” and no bar. Nothing is estimated.
Recent form · rushing yardsMeasured
∅
Recent formNot available yet — requires a verified non-qualified intelligence row for this player and market. REPICOM does not estimate missing data.
Source & method · as of Oct 29, 3:50 AM ET
Source
repicom_nfl_intelligence_v1 — non-qualified, unlocked rows only, joined on player + market (+ game_id)
Statistic
Games that cleared the line, out of the last 10 (count)
Calculation
recent10_hits ÷ recent10_games. Dots show the count, not the game order.
Game-by-game · real game logs vs the Hard Rock line
Rushing yardsOver the line in 3 of last 5 with a Hard Rock line
2026 season
27.9
Last 5
29.4
Last 10
27.9
Home · Away
32.3 · 22.0
41
MIA
7
LAC
54
NO
18
KC
5
NE
43
BUF
27
LA
Date
Opp
Rushing yards
Line
Oct 25
vs LA
27
—
Oct 18
vs BUF
43
14.5
Over
Oct 11
@ NE
5
23.5
Under
Oct 4
vs KC
18
16.5
Over
Sep 27
@ NO
54
15.5
Over
Sep 20
@ LAC
7
18.5
Under
Sep 13
vs MIA
41
—
ReceptionsNo Hard Rock lines in these games
2026 season
0.4
Last 5
0.6
Last 10
0.4
Home · Away
0.5 · 0.3
0
MIA
0
LAC
0
NO
1
KC
1
NE
1
BUF
0
LA
Date
Opp
Receptions
Line
Oct 25
vs LA
0
—
Oct 18
vs BUF
1
—
Oct 11
@ NE
1
—
Oct 4
vs KC
1
—
Sep 27
@ NO
0
—
Sep 20
@ LAC
0
—
Sep 13
vs MIA
0
—
Receiving yardsNo Hard Rock lines in these games
2026 season
1.6
Last 5
2.2
Last 10
1.6
Home · Away
1.5 · 1.7
0
MIA
0
LAC
0
NO
-1
KC
5
NE
7
BUF
0
LA
Date
Opp
Receiving yards
Line
Oct 25
vs LA
0
—
Oct 18
vs BUF
7
—
Oct 11
@ NE
5
—
Oct 4
vs KC
-1
—
Sep 27
@ NO
0
—
Sep 20
@ LAC
0
—
Sep 13
vs MIA
0
—
Stats: nflverse game logs, regular season. Line: Hard Rock's final line before each game, when we captured one. Green bar = over the line, red = under.
SourcesResearch: repicom_public_nfl_intelligence_v1 (NO PLAY rows) · Form: repicom_nfl_intelligence_v1 (non-qualified rows only) · Read live at Oct 29, 3:50 AM ET.Member-qualified and locked player markets are never shown on public research pages. A research signal is not a REPICOM play.
