NFLNO PLAY research

Kenyon Sadiq

Position and team not on the research feed

Next gameLas Vegas Raiders @ New York JetsSun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM ETGame intelligence →

Historical sample Measured: 7 games
Last 10 · receptions Measured: —
MCP consistency Model: —
Markets evaluated: 4

Evidence · receptionsNO PLAY

Line Market 1.5

Price-195

Sportsbook—

REPICOM modelModel58.3%

Market impliedMarket66.1%

Model − market-7.8 ptsPrice -195

Edge Derived: -7.8 pts
EV per 1u Derived: -0.119u
Sample Measured: 7 g

REPICOM decisionNO PLAY

Model signal exists, but the player does not meet the 20-game publication history floor.

A positive gap is not a pick: qualification also requires confidence, edge, expected value and a sufficient sample — those rules are unchanged.

Source & method · as of Oct 29, 3:45 AM ET

Source: repicom_public_nfl_intelligence_v1 (NO PLAY research rows, read server-side)
Statistic: Probability of the evaluated side, in %
Calculation: Model = model_probability. Market = captured market_probability; if absent, implied from american_odds (−odds ÷ (−odds + 100), or 100 ÷ (odds + 100)). Gap = model − market, in percentage points. EV = p × (decimal − 1) − (1 − p) per 1u.
Sample: history_games on the row
Freshness: Read on every request (no cache); the market price is the one captured with the evaluation
Missing data: A missing probability or price shows “—” and no bar. Nothing is estimated.

Recent form · receptionsMeasured

Recent formNot available yet — requires a verified non-qualified intelligence row for this player and market. REPICOM does not estimate missing data.

Source & method · as of Oct 29, 3:45 AM ET

Source: repicom_nfl_intelligence_v1 — non-qualified, unlocked rows only, joined on player + market (+ game_id)
Statistic: Games that cleared the line, out of the last 10 (count)
Calculation: recent10_hits ÷ recent10_games. Dots show the count, not the game order.
Sample: recent10_games
Freshness: Read on every request (no cache)
Missing data: No confident join → “Recent form unavailable”.

Market map · every evaluated marketTap a market

REPICOM modelMarket impliedGap in pts

Compare playersPublic research only

Compare with

Kenyon Sadiq

Michael Mayer

Historical sample

7 g7 g

Last-10 hit rate

—86%

Best model − market gap

+3.0 pts+8.6 pts

Markets evaluated

Open Michael Mayer

Game-by-game · real game logs vs the Hard Rock line

ReceptionsOver the line in 0 of last 5 with a Hard Rock line

2026 season: 2.3
Last 5: 2.2
Last 10: 2.3
Home · Away: 1.7 · 2.8

TEN

DET

CHI

CLE

MIA

Date	Opp	Receptions	Line
Oct 25	vs MIA	1	2.5	Under
Oct 18	@ NE	1	2.5	Under
Oct 11	vs CLE	2	3.5	Under
Oct 4	@ CHI	0	4.5	Under
Sep 27	@ DET	7	—
Sep 20	vs GB	2	2.5	Under
Sep 13	@ TEN	3	—

Receiving yardsOver the line in 0 of last 5 with a Hard Rock line

2026 season: 23.4
Last 5: 25.2
Last 10: 23.4
Home · Away: 8.7 · 34.5

TEN

105

DET

CHI

CLE

MIA

Date	Opp	Receiving yards	Line
Oct 25	vs MIA	6	18.5	Under
Oct 18	@ NE	12	20.5	Under
Oct 11	vs CLE	3	29.5	Under
Oct 4	@ CHI	0	41.5	Under
Sep 27	@ DET	105	—
Sep 20	vs GB	17	21.5	Under
Sep 13	@ TEN	21	—

Stats: nflverse game logs, regular season. Line: Hard Rock's final line before each game, when we captured one. Green bar = over the line, red = under.

Also researched in this game7 players

Michael Mayerreceptions6/7 last 10 Tre Tuckerreceptions6/7 last 10 Ashton Jeantyreceiving yards6/7 last 10 Brock Bowersreceptions4/5 last 10 Garrett Wilsonreceptions7 g sample Geno Smithpassing yards21 g sample Mike Washington Jr.rushing yards7 g sample

SourcesResearch: repicom_public_nfl_intelligence_v1 (NO PLAY rows) · Form: repicom_nfl_intelligence_v1 (non-qualified rows only) · Read live at Oct 29, 3:45 AM ET.Member-qualified and locked player markets are never shown on public research pages. A research signal is not a REPICOM play.