SportsReal data · Locked predictions · Public results
REPICOM — Sports intelligence you can verify
|
Sign inJoin free
NFLNO PLAY research

Mike Gesicki

Position and team not on the research feed

Next gameTennessee Titans @ Cincinnati BengalsSun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM ETGame intelligence →
Historical sample Measured
67 games
Last 10 · receptions Measured
—
MCP consistency Model
—
Markets evaluated
4
Evidence · receptionsNO PLAY
Line Market 2.5
Price+100
Sportsbook—
REPICOM modelModel55.9%
Market impliedMarket50.0%
Model − market+5.9 ptsPrice +100
Edge Derived
+5.9 pts
EV per 1u Derived
+0.118u
Sample Measured
67 g
REPICOM decisionNO PLAY

Model signal exists, but MCP consistency did not reach a qualifying band.

A positive gap is not a pick: qualification also requires confidence, edge, expected value and a sufficient sample — those rules are unchanged.
Source & method · as of Oct 28, 3:35 PM ET
Source
repicom_public_nfl_intelligence_v1 (NO PLAY research rows, read server-side)
Statistic
Probability of the evaluated side, in %
Calculation
Model = model_probability. Market = captured market_probability; if absent, implied from american_odds (−odds ÷ (−odds + 100), or 100 ÷ (odds + 100)). Gap = model − market, in percentage points. EV = p × (decimal − 1) − (1 − p) per 1u.
Sample
history_games on the row
Freshness
Read on every request (no cache); the market price is the one captured with the evaluation
Missing data
A missing probability or price shows “—” and no bar. Nothing is estimated.
Recent form · receptionsMeasured
Recent formNot available yet — requires a verified non-qualified intelligence row for this player and market. REPICOM does not estimate missing data.
Source & method · as of Oct 28, 3:35 PM ET
Source
repicom_nfl_intelligence_v1 — non-qualified, unlocked rows only, joined on player + market (+ game_id)
Statistic
Games that cleared the line, out of the last 10 (count)
Calculation
recent10_hits ÷ recent10_games. Dots show the count, not the game order.
Sample
recent10_games
Freshness
Read on every request (no cache)
Missing data
No confident join → “Recent form unavailable”.
Market map · every evaluated marketTap a market
REPICOM modelMarket impliedGap in pts
Compare playersPublic research only
Mike Gesicki
Cam Ward
Historical sample
67 g7 g
Last-10 hit rate
—86%
Best model − market gap
+5.9 pts+14.7 pts
Markets evaluated
42
Open Cam Ward
Game-by-game · real game logs vs the Hard Rock line
ReceptionsOver the line in 2 of last 4 with a Hard Rock line
2026 season
2.6
Last 5
2.6
Last 10
3.4
Home · Away
3.6 · 3.8
DateOppReceptionsLine
Oct 25@ BAL12.5Under
Oct 11@ MIA13.5Under
Oct 4vs JAX32.5Over
Sep 27@ PIT32.5Over
Sep 13vs TB5—
Jan 9vs NE2—
Jan 2@ TEN4—
Dec 27@ NO3—
Dec 19vs NYJ5—
Dec 5vs NYG7—
Receiving yardsOver the line in 2 of last 4 with a Hard Rock line
2026 season
33.0
Last 5
33.0
Last 10
34.9
Home · Away
41.1 · 45.5
DateOppReceiving yardsLine
Oct 25@ BAL622.5Under
Oct 11@ MIA430.5Under
Oct 4vs JAX4027.5Over
Sep 27@ PIT3724.5Over
Sep 13vs TB78—
Jan 9vs NE22—
Jan 2@ TEN51—
Dec 27@ NO22—
Dec 19vs NYJ43—
Dec 5vs NYG46—

Stats: nflverse game logs, regular season. Line: Hard Rock's final line before each game, when we captured one. Green bar = over the line, red = under.

Also researched in this game8 players
Cam Wardpassing yards6/7 last 10Ja'Marr Chasereceptions7/10 last 10Wan'Dale Robinsonreceiving yards7 g sampleGunnar Helmreceptions4/6 last 10Tony Pollardrushing yards56 g sampleTee Higginsreceptions42 g sampleJoe Burrowpassing yards39 g sampleCarnell Tatereceptions7 g sample
SourcesResearch: repicom_public_nfl_intelligence_v1 (NO PLAY rows) · Form: repicom_nfl_intelligence_v1 (non-qualified rows only) · Read live at Oct 28, 3:35 PM ET.Member-qualified and locked player markets are never shown on public research pages. A research signal is not a REPICOM play.