Model signal exists, but the player does not meet the 20-game publication history floor.
A positive gap is not a pick: qualification also requires confidence, edge, expected value and a sufficient sample — those rules are unchanged.
Source & method · as of Nov 1, 2:11 AM ET
Source
repicom_public_nfl_intelligence_v1 (NO PLAY research rows, read server-side)
Statistic
Probability of the evaluated side, in %
Calculation
Model = model_probability. Market = captured market_probability; if absent, implied from american_odds (−odds ÷ (−odds + 100), or 100 ÷ (odds + 100)). Gap = model − market, in percentage points. EV = p × (decimal − 1) − (1 − p) per 1u.
Sample
history_games on the row
Freshness
Read on every request (no cache); the market price is the one captured with the evaluation
Missing data
A missing probability or price shows “—” and no bar. Nothing is estimated.
Recent form · rushing yardsMeasured
∅
Recent formNot available yet — requires a verified non-qualified intelligence row for this player and market. REPICOM does not estimate missing data.
Source & method · as of Nov 1, 2:11 AM ET
Source
repicom_nfl_intelligence_v1 — non-qualified, unlocked rows only, joined on player + market (+ game_id)
Statistic
Games that cleared the line, out of the last 10 (count)
Calculation
recent10_hits ÷ recent10_games. Dots show the count, not the game order.
Game-by-game · real game logs vs the Hard Rock line
Rushing yardsNo Hard Rock lines in these games
2026 season
9.0
Last 5
10.0
Last 10
9.1
Home · Away
26.3 · 25.8
13
PIT
0
BAL
9
DET
16
ARI
3
GB
0
MIN
21
SEA
9
NYG
11
MIN
9
SF
Date
Opp
Rushing yards
Line
Oct 25
vs SF
9
—
Jan 9
@ MIN
11
—
Jan 2
vs NYG
9
—
Dec 26
@ SEA
21
—
Dec 20
vs MIN
0
—
Dec 12
@ GB
3
—
Dec 5
vs ARI
16
—
Nov 25
@ DET
9
—
Nov 21
vs BAL
0
—
Nov 8
@ PIT
13
—
ReceptionsNo Hard Rock lines in these games
2026 season
1.0
Last 5
1.0
Last 10
0.6
Home · Away
1.1 · 0.7
0
PIT
0
BAL
0
DET
1
ARI
0
GB
3
MIN
1
SEA
0
NYG
0
MIN
1
SF
Date
Opp
Receptions
Line
Oct 25
vs SF
1
—
Jan 9
@ MIN
0
—
Jan 2
vs NYG
0
—
Dec 26
@ SEA
1
—
Dec 20
vs MIN
3
—
Dec 12
@ GB
0
—
Dec 5
vs ARI
1
—
Nov 25
@ DET
0
—
Nov 21
vs BAL
0
—
Nov 8
@ PIT
0
—
Receiving yardsNo Hard Rock lines in these games
2026 season
19.0
Last 5
12.0
Last 10
7.1
Home · Away
9.4 · 4.4
0
PIT
0
BAL
0
DET
11
ARI
0
GB
34
MIN
7
SEA
0
NYG
0
MIN
19
SF
Date
Opp
Receiving yards
Line
Oct 25
vs SF
19
—
Jan 9
@ MIN
0
—
Jan 2
vs NYG
0
—
Dec 26
@ SEA
7
—
Dec 20
vs MIN
34
—
Dec 12
@ GB
0
—
Dec 5
vs ARI
11
—
Nov 25
@ DET
0
—
Nov 21
vs BAL
0
—
Nov 8
@ PIT
0
—
Stats: nflverse game logs, regular season. Line: Hard Rock's final line before each game, when we captured one. Green bar = over the line, red = under.
SourcesResearch: repicom_public_nfl_intelligence_v1 (NO PLAY rows) · Form: repicom_nfl_intelligence_v1 (non-qualified rows only) · Read live at Nov 1, 2:11 AM ET.Member-qualified and locked player markets are never shown on public research pages. A research signal is not a REPICOM play.
