NFLNO PLAY research

Austin Hooper

Position and team not on the research feed

Next gameAtlanta Falcons @ Tampa Bay BuccaneersSun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM ETGame intelligence →

Historical sample Measured: 101 games
Last 10 · receptions Measured: 9/10
MCP consistency Model: 28.5
Markets evaluated: 4

Evidence · receptionsNO PLAY

Line MarketOVER 0.5

Price-190

Sportsbook—

REPICOM modelModel78.0%

Market impliedMarket65.5%

Model − market+12.5 ptsPrice -190

Edge Derived: +12.5 pts
EV per 1u Derived: +0.191u
Sample Measured: 101 g

REPICOM decisionNO PLAY

Model signal exists, but MCP consistency did not reach a qualifying band.

A positive gap is not a pick: qualification also requires confidence, edge, expected value and a sufficient sample — those rules are unchanged.

Source & method · as of Nov 1, 2:14 AM ET

Source: repicom_public_nfl_intelligence_v1 (NO PLAY research rows, read server-side)
Statistic: Probability of the evaluated side, in %
Calculation: Model = model_probability. Market = captured market_probability; if absent, implied from american_odds (−odds ÷ (−odds + 100), or 100 ÷ (odds + 100)). Gap = model − market, in percentage points. EV = p × (decimal − 1) − (1 − p) per 1u.
Sample: history_games on the row
Freshness: Read on every request (no cache); the market price is the one captured with the evaluation
Missing data: A missing probability or price shows “—” and no bar. Nothing is estimated.

Recent form · receptionsMeasured

Cleared the line, last 109/1090%

Count of hits in the sample, not an ordered game log.

Current miss streak: 0
MCP consistency Model: 28.5
Line on record: 0.5

Source & method · as of Nov 1, 2:14 AM ET

Source: repicom_nfl_intelligence_v1 — non-qualified, unlocked rows only, joined on player + market (+ game_id)
Statistic: Games that cleared the line, out of the last 10 (count)
Calculation: recent10_hits ÷ recent10_games. Dots show the count, not the game order.
Sample: recent10_games
Freshness: Read on every request (no cache)
Missing data: No confident join → “Recent form unavailable”.

Market map · every evaluated marketTap a market

REPICOM modelMarket impliedGap in pts

Compare playersPublic research only

Compare with

Austin Hooper

Chris Godwin Jr.

Historical sample

101 g85 g

Last-10 hit rate

90%80%

Best model − market gap

+20.7 pts+15.3 pts

Markets evaluated

Open Chris Godwin Jr.

Game-by-game · real game logs vs the Hard Rock line

ReceptionsOver the line in 2 of last 2 with a Hard Rock line

2026 season: 1.6
Last 5: 1.6
Last 10: 2.2
Home · Away: 2.9 · 2.9

DET

BAL

PIT

CAR

CHI

Date	Opp	Receptions	Line
Oct 25	vs SF	2	0.5	Over
Oct 18	vs CHI	1	—
Oct 5	@ NO	1	0.5	Over
Sep 24	@ GB	2	—
Sep 20	vs CAR	2	—
Jan 3	@ PIT	2	—
Dec 25	@ GB	3	—
Dec 12	vs BAL	5	—
Nov 28	@ BAL	0	—
Nov 21	vs DET	4	—

Receiving yardsOver the line in 2 of last 2 with a Hard Rock line

2026 season: 13.4
Last 5: 13.4
Last 10: 20.4
Home · Away: 27.9 · 24.8

DET

BAL

PIT

CAR

CHI

Date	Opp	Receiving yards	Line
Oct 25	vs SF	21	3.5	Over
Oct 18	vs CHI	6	—
Oct 5	@ NO	9	6.5	Over
Sep 24	@ GB	11	—
Sep 20	vs CAR	20	—
Jan 3	@ PIT	28	—
Dec 25	@ GB	26	—
Dec 12	vs BAL	30	—
Nov 28	@ BAL	0	—
Nov 21	vs DET	53	—

Stats: nflverse game logs, regular season. Line: Hard Rock's final line before each game, when we captured one. Green bar = over the line, red = under.

Also researched in this game8 players

Chris Godwin Jr.receiving yards8/10 last 10 Zachariah Branchreceiving yards7 g sample Khalil Herbertrushing yards17 g sample Bucky Irvingreceptions8 g sample Emeka Egbukareceiving yards6 g sample Jahan Dotsonreceptions9/10 last 10 Drake Londonreceptions7 g sample Tez Johnsonreceptions7/7 last 10

SourcesResearch: repicom_public_nfl_intelligence_v1 (NO PLAY rows) · Form: repicom_nfl_intelligence_v1 (non-qualified rows only) · Read live at Nov 1, 2:14 AM ET.Member-qualified and locked player markets are never shown on public research pages. A research signal is not a REPICOM play.