Model signal exists, but the player does not meet the 20-game publication history floor.
A positive gap is not a pick: qualification also requires confidence, edge, expected value and a sufficient sample — those rules are unchanged.
Source & method · as of Oct 28, 3:37 PM ET
Source
repicom_public_nfl_intelligence_v1 (NO PLAY research rows, read server-side)
Statistic
Probability of the evaluated side, in %
Calculation
Model = model_probability. Market = captured market_probability; if absent, implied from american_odds (−odds ÷ (−odds + 100), or 100 ÷ (odds + 100)). Gap = model − market, in percentage points. EV = p × (decimal − 1) − (1 − p) per 1u.
Sample
history_games on the row
Freshness
Read on every request (no cache); the market price is the one captured with the evaluation
Missing data
A missing probability or price shows “—” and no bar. Nothing is estimated.
Recent form · receptionsMeasured
∅
Recent formNot available yet — requires a verified non-qualified intelligence row for this player and market. REPICOM does not estimate missing data.
Source & method · as of Oct 28, 3:37 PM ET
Source
repicom_nfl_intelligence_v1 — non-qualified, unlocked rows only, joined on player + market (+ game_id)
Statistic
Games that cleared the line, out of the last 10 (count)
Calculation
recent10_hits ÷ recent10_games. Dots show the count, not the game order.
Game-by-game · real game logs vs the Hard Rock line
ReceptionsOver the line in 2 of last 5 with a Hard Rock line
2026 season
5.4
Last 5
6.4
Last 10
5.4
Home · Away
5.5 · 5.3
2
PIT
4
CAR
9
GB
5
NO
7
BAL
4
CHI
7
SF
Date
Opp
Receptions
Line
Oct 25
vs SF
7
5.5
Over
Oct 18
vs CHI
4
6.5
Under
Oct 11
vs BAL
7
6.5
Over
Oct 5
@ NO
5
5.5
Under
Sep 24
@ GB
9
—
Sep 20
vs CAR
4
—
Sep 13
@ PIT
2
4.5
Under
Receiving yardsOver the line in 2 of last 5 with a Hard Rock line
2026 season
88.0
Last 5
107.2
Last 10
88.0
Home · Away
74.3 · 106.3
29
PIT
51
CAR
194
GB
96
NO
118
BAL
62
CHI
66
SF
Date
Opp
Receiving yards
Line
Oct 25
vs SF
66
84.5
Under
Oct 18
vs CHI
62
89.5
Under
Oct 11
vs BAL
118
81.5
Over
Oct 5
@ NO
96
81.5
Over
Sep 24
@ GB
194
—
Sep 20
vs CAR
51
—
Sep 13
@ PIT
29
56.5
Under
Stats: nflverse game logs, regular season. Line: Hard Rock's final line before each game, when we captured one. Green bar = over the line, red = under.
SourcesResearch: repicom_public_nfl_intelligence_v1 (NO PLAY rows) · Form: repicom_nfl_intelligence_v1 (non-qualified rows only) · Read live at Oct 28, 3:37 PM ET.Member-qualified and locked player markets are never shown on public research pages. A research signal is not a REPICOM play.