Model signal exists, but the player does not meet the 20-game publication history floor.
A positive gap is not a pick: qualification also requires confidence, edge, expected value and a sufficient sample — those rules are unchanged.
Source & method · as of Oct 28, 3:36 PM ET
Source
repicom_public_nfl_intelligence_v1 (NO PLAY research rows, read server-side)
Statistic
Probability of the evaluated side, in %
Calculation
Model = model_probability. Market = captured market_probability; if absent, implied from american_odds (−odds ÷ (−odds + 100), or 100 ÷ (odds + 100)). Gap = model − market, in percentage points. EV = p × (decimal − 1) − (1 − p) per 1u.
Sample
history_games on the row
Freshness
Read on every request (no cache); the market price is the one captured with the evaluation
Missing data
A missing probability or price shows “—” and no bar. Nothing is estimated.
Recent form · receiving yardsMeasured
∅
Recent formNot available yet — requires a verified non-qualified intelligence row for this player and market. REPICOM does not estimate missing data.
Source & method · as of Oct 28, 3:36 PM ET
Source
repicom_nfl_intelligence_v1 — non-qualified, unlocked rows only, joined on player + market (+ game_id)
Statistic
Games that cleared the line, out of the last 10 (count)
Calculation
recent10_hits ÷ recent10_games. Dots show the count, not the game order.
Game-by-game · real game logs vs the Hard Rock line
Rushing yardsOver the line in 2 of last 5 with a Hard Rock line
2026 season
100.6
Last 5
109.8
Last 10
100.6
Home · Away
70.5 · 140.7
83
PIT
72
CAR
194
GB
145
NO
86
BAL
61
CHI
63
SF
Date
Opp
Rushing yards
Line
Oct 25
vs SF
63
89.5
Under
Oct 18
vs CHI
61
92.5
Under
Oct 11
vs BAL
86
90.5
Under
Oct 5
@ NO
145
89.5
Over
Sep 24
@ GB
194
—
Sep 20
vs CAR
72
—
Sep 13
@ PIT
83
77.5
Over
ReceptionsOver the line in 3 of last 5 with a Hard Rock line
2026 season
3.6
Last 5
2.8
Last 10
3.6
Home · Away
3.5 · 3.7
8
PIT
3
CAR
2
GB
1
NO
4
BAL
2
CHI
5
SF
Date
Opp
Receptions
Line
Oct 25
vs SF
5
3.5
Over
Oct 18
vs CHI
2
3.5
Under
Oct 11
vs BAL
4
3.5
Over
Oct 5
@ NO
1
4.5
Under
Sep 24
@ GB
2
—
Sep 20
vs CAR
3
—
Sep 13
@ PIT
8
4.5
Over
Receiving yardsOver the line in 3 of last 5 with a Hard Rock line
2026 season
29.0
Last 5
20.8
Last 10
29.0
Home · Away
23.0 · 37.0
90
PIT
9
CAR
19
GB
2
NO
32
BAL
-8
CHI
59
SF
Date
Opp
Receiving yards
Line
Oct 25
vs SF
59
29.5
Over
Oct 18
vs CHI
-8
29.5
Under
Oct 11
vs BAL
32
27.5
Over
Oct 5
@ NO
2
37.5
Under
Sep 24
@ GB
19
—
Sep 20
vs CAR
9
—
Sep 13
@ PIT
90
34.5
Over
Stats: nflverse game logs, regular season. Line: Hard Rock's final line before each game, when we captured one. Green bar = over the line, red = under.
SourcesResearch: repicom_public_nfl_intelligence_v1 (NO PLAY rows) · Form: repicom_nfl_intelligence_v1 (non-qualified rows only) · Read live at Oct 28, 3:36 PM ET.Member-qualified and locked player markets are never shown on public research pages. A research signal is not a REPICOM play.
