Model signal exists, but the player does not meet the 20-game publication history floor.
A positive gap is not a pick: qualification also requires confidence, edge, expected value and a sufficient sample — those rules are unchanged.
Source & method · as of Oct 28, 3:34 PM ET
Source
repicom_public_nfl_intelligence_v1 (NO PLAY research rows, read server-side)
Statistic
Probability of the evaluated side, in %
Calculation
Model = model_probability. Market = captured market_probability; if absent, implied from american_odds (−odds ÷ (−odds + 100), or 100 ÷ (odds + 100)). Gap = model − market, in percentage points. EV = p × (decimal − 1) − (1 − p) per 1u.
Sample
history_games on the row
Freshness
Read on every request (no cache); the market price is the one captured with the evaluation
Missing data
A missing probability or price shows “—” and no bar. Nothing is estimated.
Recent form · receiving yardsMeasured
∅
Recent formNot available yet — requires a verified non-qualified intelligence row for this player and market. REPICOM does not estimate missing data.
Source & method · as of Oct 28, 3:34 PM ET
Source
repicom_nfl_intelligence_v1 — non-qualified, unlocked rows only, joined on player + market (+ game_id)
Statistic
Games that cleared the line, out of the last 10 (count)
Calculation
recent10_hits ÷ recent10_games. Dots show the count, not the game order.
Game-by-game · real game logs vs the Hard Rock line
ReceptionsOver the line in 3 of last 4 with a Hard Rock line
2026 season
1.7
Last 5
1.8
Last 10
1.7
Home · Away
2.0 · 1.3
1
PIT
2
CAR
1
GB
2
NO
2
BAL
3
CHI
1
SF
Date
Opp
Receptions
Line
Oct 25
vs SF
1
2.5
Under
Oct 18
vs CHI
3
1.5
Over
Oct 11
vs BAL
2
1.5
Over
Oct 5
@ NO
2
1.5
Over
Sep 24
@ GB
1
—
Sep 20
vs CAR
2
—
Sep 13
@ PIT
1
—
Receiving yardsOver the line in 3 of last 4 with a Hard Rock line
2026 season
34.6
Last 5
42.4
Last 10
34.6
Home · Away
39.5 · 28.0
19
PIT
11
CAR
11
GB
54
NO
54
BAL
87
CHI
6
SF
Date
Opp
Receiving yards
Line
Oct 25
vs SF
6
27.5
Under
Oct 18
vs CHI
87
23.5
Over
Oct 11
vs BAL
54
20.5
Over
Oct 5
@ NO
54
18.5
Over
Sep 24
@ GB
11
—
Sep 20
vs CAR
11
—
Sep 13
@ PIT
19
—
Stats: nflverse game logs, regular season. Line: Hard Rock's final line before each game, when we captured one. Green bar = over the line, red = under.
SourcesResearch: repicom_public_nfl_intelligence_v1 (NO PLAY rows) · Form: repicom_nfl_intelligence_v1 (non-qualified rows only) · Read live at Oct 28, 3:34 PM ET.Member-qualified and locked player markets are never shown on public research pages. A research signal is not a REPICOM play.
