Model signal exists, but the player does not meet the 20-game publication history floor.
A positive gap is not a pick: qualification also requires confidence, edge, expected value and a sufficient sample — those rules are unchanged.
Source & method · as of Nov 1, 3:34 PM ET
Source
repicom_public_nfl_intelligence_v1 (NO PLAY research rows, read server-side)
Statistic
Probability of the evaluated side, in %
Calculation
Model = model_probability. Market = captured market_probability; if absent, implied from american_odds (−odds ÷ (−odds + 100), or 100 ÷ (odds + 100)). Gap = model − market, in percentage points. EV = p × (decimal − 1) − (1 − p) per 1u.
Sample
history_games on the row
Freshness
Read on every request (no cache); the market price is the one captured with the evaluation
Missing data
A missing probability or price shows “—” and no bar. Nothing is estimated.
Recent form · rushing yardsMeasured
∅
Recent formNot available yet — requires a verified non-qualified intelligence row for this player and market. REPICOM does not estimate missing data.
Source & method · as of Nov 1, 3:34 PM ET
Source
repicom_nfl_intelligence_v1 — non-qualified, unlocked rows only, joined on player + market (+ game_id)
Statistic
Games that cleared the line, out of the last 10 (count)
Calculation
recent10_hits ÷ recent10_games. Dots show the count, not the game order.
Game-by-game · real game logs vs the Hard Rock line
Rushing yardsNo Hard Rock lines in these games
2026 season
11.0
Last 5
82.8
Last 10
82.8
Home · Away
82.8 · 79.5
43
ARI
107
IND
137
CHI
36
ARI
91
LA
133
MIN
66
SEA
119
HOU
85
LA
11
DAL
Date
Opp
Rushing yards
Line
Oct 26
vs DAL
11
—
Jan 9
@ LA
85
—
Jan 2
vs HOU
119
—
Dec 5
@ SEA
66
—
Nov 28
vs MIN
133
—
Nov 15
vs LA
91
—
Nov 7
vs ARI
36
—
Oct 31
@ CHI
137
—
Oct 24
vs IND
107
—
Oct 10
@ ARI
43
—
ReceptionsNo Hard Rock lines in these games
2026 season
3.0
Last 5
2.6
Last 10
2.0
Home · Away
2.5 · 1.2
2
ARI
0
IND
0
CHI
5
ARI
0
LA
5
MIN
3
SEA
2
HOU
0
LA
3
DAL
Date
Opp
Receptions
Line
Oct 26
vs DAL
3
—
Jan 9
@ LA
0
—
Jan 2
vs HOU
2
—
Dec 5
@ SEA
3
—
Nov 28
vs MIN
5
—
Nov 15
vs LA
0
—
Nov 7
vs ARI
5
—
Oct 31
@ CHI
0
—
Oct 24
vs IND
0
—
Oct 10
@ ARI
2
—
Receiving yardsNo Hard Rock lines in these games
2026 season
23.0
Last 5
17.4
Last 10
14.9
Home · Away
18.7 · 8.0
19
ARI
0
IND
0
CHI
43
ARI
0
LA
35
MIN
18
SEA
11
HOU
0
LA
23
DAL
Date
Opp
Receiving yards
Line
Oct 26
vs DAL
23
—
Jan 9
@ LA
0
—
Jan 2
vs HOU
11
—
Dec 5
@ SEA
18
—
Nov 28
vs MIN
35
—
Nov 15
vs LA
0
—
Nov 7
vs ARI
43
—
Oct 31
@ CHI
0
—
Oct 24
vs IND
0
—
Oct 10
@ ARI
19
—
Stats: nflverse game logs, regular season. Line: Hard Rock's final line before each game, when we captured one. Green bar = over the line, red = under.
SourcesResearch: repicom_public_nfl_intelligence_v1 (NO PLAY rows) · Form: repicom_nfl_intelligence_v1 (non-qualified rows only) · Read live at Nov 1, 3:34 PM ET.Member-qualified and locked player markets are never shown on public research pages. A research signal is not a REPICOM play.
