Model signal exists, but the player does not meet the 20-game publication history floor.
A positive gap is not a pick: qualification also requires confidence, edge, expected value and a sufficient sample — those rules are unchanged.
Source & method · as of Oct 29, 3:48 AM ET
Source
repicom_public_nfl_intelligence_v1 (NO PLAY research rows, read server-side)
Statistic
Probability of the evaluated side, in %
Calculation
Model = model_probability. Market = captured market_probability; if absent, implied from american_odds (−odds ÷ (−odds + 100), or 100 ÷ (odds + 100)). Gap = model − market, in percentage points. EV = p × (decimal − 1) − (1 − p) per 1u.
Sample
history_games on the row
Freshness
Read on every request (no cache); the market price is the one captured with the evaluation
Missing data
A missing probability or price shows “—” and no bar. Nothing is estimated.
Recent form · receptionsMeasured
∅
Recent formNot available yet — requires a verified non-qualified intelligence row for this player and market. REPICOM does not estimate missing data.
Source & method · as of Oct 29, 3:48 AM ET
Source
repicom_nfl_intelligence_v1 — non-qualified, unlocked rows only, joined on player + market (+ game_id)
Statistic
Games that cleared the line, out of the last 10 (count)
Calculation
recent10_hits ÷ recent10_games. Dots show the count, not the game order.
Game-by-game · real game logs vs the Hard Rock line
Rushing yardsOver the line in 2 of last 4 with a Hard Rock line
2026 season
29.0
Last 5
29.0
Last 10
29.0
Home · Away
26.5 · 30.7
22
PHI
43
DAL
35
SEA
18
NYG
27
SF
Date
Opp
Rushing yards
Line
Oct 19
@ SF
27
44.5
Under
Oct 11
vs NYG
18
23.5
Under
Sep 27
vs SEA
35
18.5
Over
Sep 20
@ DAL
43
21.5
Over
Sep 13
@ PHI
22
—
ReceptionsOver the line in 2 of last 4 with a Hard Rock line
2026 season
2.8
Last 5
2.8
Last 10
2.8
Home · Away
1.0 · 4.0
2
PHI
6
DAL
1
SEA
1
NYG
4
SF
Date
Opp
Receptions
Line
Oct 19
@ SF
4
2.5
Over
Oct 11
vs NYG
1
1.5
Under
Sep 27
vs SEA
1
2.5
Under
Sep 20
@ DAL
6
2.5
Over
Sep 13
@ PHI
2
—
Receiving yardsOver the line in 2 of last 4 with a Hard Rock line
2026 season
16.6
Last 5
16.6
Last 10
16.6
Home · Away
4.0 · 25.0
5
PHI
40
DAL
6
SEA
2
NYG
30
SF
Date
Opp
Receiving yards
Line
Oct 19
@ SF
30
14.5
Over
Oct 11
vs NYG
2
9.5
Under
Sep 27
vs SEA
6
16.5
Under
Sep 20
@ DAL
40
11.5
Over
Sep 13
@ PHI
5
—
Stats: nflverse game logs, regular season. Line: Hard Rock's final line before each game, when we captured one. Green bar = over the line, red = under.
SourcesResearch: repicom_public_nfl_intelligence_v1 (NO PLAY rows) · Form: repicom_nfl_intelligence_v1 (non-qualified rows only) · Read live at Oct 29, 3:48 AM ET.Member-qualified and locked player markets are never shown on public research pages. A research signal is not a REPICOM play.
