Model signal exists, but the player does not meet the 20-game publication history floor.
A positive gap is not a pick: qualification also requires confidence, edge, expected value and a sufficient sample — those rules are unchanged.
Source & method · as of Oct 29, 3:46 AM ET
Source
repicom_public_nfl_intelligence_v1 (NO PLAY research rows, read server-side)
Statistic
Probability of the evaluated side, in %
Calculation
Model = model_probability. Market = captured market_probability; if absent, implied from american_odds (−odds ÷ (−odds + 100), or 100 ÷ (odds + 100)). Gap = model − market, in percentage points. EV = p × (decimal − 1) − (1 − p) per 1u.
Sample
history_games on the row
Freshness
Read on every request (no cache); the market price is the one captured with the evaluation
Missing data
A missing probability or price shows “—” and no bar. Nothing is estimated.
Recent form · passing yardsMeasured
∅
Recent formNot available yet — requires a verified non-qualified intelligence row for this player and market. REPICOM does not estimate missing data.
Source & method · as of Oct 29, 3:46 AM ET
Source
repicom_nfl_intelligence_v1 — non-qualified, unlocked rows only, joined on player + market (+ game_id)
Statistic
Games that cleared the line, out of the last 10 (count)
Calculation
recent10_hits ÷ recent10_games. Dots show the count, not the game order.
Game-by-game · real game logs vs the Hard Rock line
Passing yardsOver the line in 2 of last 4 with a Hard Rock line
2026 season
189.8
Last 5
189.8
Last 10
189.8
Home · Away
199.0 · 186.7
164
PHI
96
DAL
199
NYG
300
SF
Date
Opp
Passing yards
Line
Oct 19
@ SF
300
211.5
Over
Oct 11
vs NYG
199
191.5
Over
Sep 20
@ DAL
96
213.5
Under
Sep 13
@ PHI
164
202.5
Under
Rushing yardsOver the line in 2 of last 4 with a Hard Rock line
2026 season
53.3
Last 5
53.3
Last 10
53.3
Home · Away
103.0 · 36.7
31
PHI
69
DAL
103
NYG
10
SF
Date
Opp
Rushing yards
Line
Oct 19
@ SF
10
40.5
Under
Oct 11
vs NYG
103
30.5
Over
Sep 20
@ DAL
69
36.5
Over
Sep 13
@ PHI
31
35.5
Under
Stats: nflverse game logs, regular season. Line: Hard Rock's final line before each game, when we captured one. Green bar = over the line, red = under.
SourcesResearch: repicom_public_nfl_intelligence_v1 (NO PLAY rows) · Form: repicom_nfl_intelligence_v1 (non-qualified rows only) · Read live at Oct 29, 3:46 AM ET.Member-qualified and locked player markets are never shown on public research pages. A research signal is not a REPICOM play.
