Model signal exists, but the player does not meet the 20-game publication history floor.
A positive gap is not a pick: qualification also requires confidence, edge, expected value and a sufficient sample — those rules are unchanged.
Source & method · as of Oct 28, 3:34 PM ET
Source
repicom_public_nfl_intelligence_v1 (NO PLAY research rows, read server-side)
Statistic
Probability of the evaluated side, in %
Calculation
Model = model_probability. Market = captured market_probability; if absent, implied from american_odds (−odds ÷ (−odds + 100), or 100 ÷ (odds + 100)). Gap = model − market, in percentage points. EV = p × (decimal − 1) − (1 − p) per 1u.
Sample
history_games on the row
Freshness
Read on every request (no cache); the market price is the one captured with the evaluation
Missing data
A missing probability or price shows “—” and no bar. Nothing is estimated.
Recent form · rushing yardsMeasured
∅
Recent formNot available yet — requires a verified non-qualified intelligence row for this player and market. REPICOM does not estimate missing data.
Source & method · as of Oct 28, 3:34 PM ET
Source
repicom_nfl_intelligence_v1 — non-qualified, unlocked rows only, joined on player + market (+ game_id)
Statistic
Games that cleared the line, out of the last 10 (count)
Calculation
recent10_hits ÷ recent10_games. Dots show the count, not the game order.
Game-by-game · real game logs vs the Hard Rock line
Rushing yardsOver the line in 1 of last 6 with a Hard Rock line
2026 season
47.5
Last 5
45.8
Last 10
47.5
Home · Away
33.0 · 54.8
56
TB
80
HOU
61
PIT
10
JAX
39
MIA
39
BAL
Date
Opp
Rushing yards
Line
Oct 25
@ BAL
39
40.5
Under
Oct 11
@ MIA
39
67.5
Under
Oct 4
vs JAX
10
60.5
Under
Sep 27
@ PIT
61
64.5
Under
Sep 20
@ HOU
80
56.5
Over
Sep 13
vs TB
56
58.5
Under
ReceptionsOver the line in 3 of last 6 with a Hard Rock line
2026 season
4.7
Last 5
4.6
Last 10
4.7
Home · Away
8.0 · 3.0
5
TB
3
HOU
2
PIT
11
JAX
3
MIA
4
BAL
Date
Opp
Receptions
Line
Oct 25
@ BAL
4
3.5
Over
Oct 11
@ MIA
3
3.5
Under
Oct 4
vs JAX
11
3.5
Over
Sep 27
@ PIT
2
3.5
Under
Sep 20
@ HOU
3
3.5
Under
Sep 13
vs TB
5
3.5
Over
Receiving yardsOver the line in 2 of last 6 with a Hard Rock line
2026 season
23.8
Last 5
24.2
Last 10
23.8
Home · Away
46.5 · 12.5
22
TB
2
HOU
8
PIT
71
JAX
21
MIA
19
BAL
Date
Opp
Receiving yards
Line
Oct 25
@ BAL
19
20.5
Under
Oct 11
@ MIA
21
20.5
Over
Oct 4
vs JAX
71
19.5
Over
Sep 27
@ PIT
8
22.5
Under
Sep 20
@ HOU
2
20.5
Under
Sep 13
vs TB
22
22.5
Under
Stats: nflverse game logs, regular season. Line: Hard Rock's final line before each game, when we captured one. Green bar = over the line, red = under.
SourcesResearch: repicom_public_nfl_intelligence_v1 (NO PLAY rows) · Form: repicom_nfl_intelligence_v1 (non-qualified rows only) · Read live at Oct 28, 3:34 PM ET.Member-qualified and locked player markets are never shown on public research pages. A research signal is not a REPICOM play.
