NFLNO PLAY research

CeeDee Lamb

Position and team not on the research feed

Next gameArizona Cardinals @ Dallas CowboysSun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM ETGame intelligence →

Historical sample Measured: 43 games
Last 10 · receiving yards Measured: —
MCP consistency Model: —
Markets evaluated: 4

Evidence · receiving yardsNO PLAY

Line Market 79.5

Price-115

Sportsbook—

REPICOM modelModel54.6%

Market impliedMarket53.5%

Model − market+1.1 ptsPrice -115

Edge Derived: +1.1 pts
EV per 1u Derived: +0.021u
Sample Measured: 43 g

REPICOM decisionNO PLAY

Model signal exists, but MCP consistency did not reach a qualifying band.

A positive gap is not a pick: qualification also requires confidence, edge, expected value and a sufficient sample — those rules are unchanged.

Source & method · as of Oct 29, 3:44 AM ET

Source: repicom_public_nfl_intelligence_v1 (NO PLAY research rows, read server-side)
Statistic: Probability of the evaluated side, in %
Calculation: Model = model_probability. Market = captured market_probability; if absent, implied from american_odds (−odds ÷ (−odds + 100), or 100 ÷ (odds + 100)). Gap = model − market, in percentage points. EV = p × (decimal − 1) − (1 − p) per 1u.
Sample: history_games on the row
Freshness: Read on every request (no cache); the market price is the one captured with the evaluation
Missing data: A missing probability or price shows “—” and no bar. Nothing is estimated.

Recent form · receiving yardsMeasured

Recent formNot available yet — requires a verified non-qualified intelligence row for this player and market. REPICOM does not estimate missing data.

Source & method · as of Oct 29, 3:44 AM ET

Source: repicom_nfl_intelligence_v1 — non-qualified, unlocked rows only, joined on player + market (+ game_id)
Statistic: Games that cleared the line, out of the last 10 (count)
Calculation: recent10_hits ÷ recent10_games. Dots show the count, not the game order.
Sample: recent10_games
Freshness: Read on every request (no cache)
Missing data: No confident join → “Recent form unavailable”.

Market map · every evaluated marketTap a market

REPICOM modelMarket impliedGap in pts

Compare playersPublic research only

Compare with

CeeDee Lamb

Javonte Williams

Historical sample

43 g25 g

Last-10 hit rate

——

Best model − market gap

+1.1 pts+1.3 pts

Markets evaluated

Open Javonte Williams

Game-by-game · real game logs vs the Hard Rock line

ReceptionsOver the line in 4 of last 7 with a Hard Rock line

2026 season: 7.6
Last 5: 8.0
Last 10: 6.2
Home · Away: 4.3 · 5.9

WAS

ARI

PHI

NYG

WAS

BAL

HOU

PHI

Date	Opp	Receptions	Line
Oct 26	@ PHI	5	6.5	Under
Oct 18	@ GB	9	6.5	Over
Oct 8	vs TB	2	6.5	Under
Oct 4	@ HOU	17	5.5	Over
Sep 27	vs BAL	7	6.5	Over
Sep 20	vs WAS	8	5.5	Over
Sep 13	@ NYG	5	6.5	Under
Jan 8	@ PHI	2	—
Jan 2	vs ARI	3	—
Dec 26	vs WAS	4	—

Receiving yardsOver the line in 3 of last 7 with a Hard Rock line

2026 season: 93.0
Last 5: 90.8
Last 10: 81.3
Home · Away: 65.1 · 67.3

WAS

ARI

PHI

NYG

153

WAS

112

BAL

189

HOU

PHI

Date	Opp	Receiving yards	Line
Oct 26	@ PHI	74	82.5	Under
Oct 18	@ GB	70	83.5	Under
Oct 8	vs TB	9	84.5	Under
Oct 4	@ HOU	189	76.5	Over
Sep 27	vs BAL	112	83.5	Over
Sep 20	vs WAS	153	75.5	Over
Sep 13	@ NYG	44	75.5	Under
Jan 8	@ PHI	45	—
Jan 2	vs ARI	51	—
Dec 26	vs WAS	66	—

Stats: nflverse game logs, regular season. Line: Hard Rock's final line before each game, when we captured one. Green bar = over the line, red = under.

Also researched in this game8 players

Javonte Williamsreceptions25 g sample Jacoby Brissettpassing yards67 g sample Brevyn Spann-Fordreceiving yards7 g sample Trey McBridereceptions7 g sample George Pickensreceptions9 g sample Kendrick Bournereceptions85 g sample Dak Prescottpassing yards99 g sample Michael Wilsonreceptions7 g sample

SourcesResearch: repicom_public_nfl_intelligence_v1 (NO PLAY rows) · Form: repicom_nfl_intelligence_v1 (non-qualified rows only) · Read live at Oct 29, 3:44 AM ET.Member-qualified and locked player markets are never shown on public research pages. A research signal is not a REPICOM play.