NFLNO PLAY research

Kendrick Bourne

Position and team not on the research feed

Next gameArizona Cardinals @ Dallas CowboysSun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM ETGame intelligence →

Historical sample Measured: 85 games
Last 10 · receptions Measured: —
MCP consistency Model: —
Markets evaluated: 4

Evidence · receptionsNO PLAY

Line Market 3.5

Price-125

Sportsbook—

REPICOM modelModel55.8%

Market impliedMarket55.6%

Model − market+0.2 ptsPrice -125

Edge Derived: +0.2 pts
EV per 1u Derived: +0.004u
Sample Measured: 85 g

REPICOM decisionNO PLAY

Model signal exists, but MCP consistency did not reach a qualifying band.

A positive gap is not a pick: qualification also requires confidence, edge, expected value and a sufficient sample — those rules are unchanged.

Source & method · as of Oct 29, 3:46 AM ET

Source: repicom_public_nfl_intelligence_v1 (NO PLAY research rows, read server-side)
Statistic: Probability of the evaluated side, in %
Calculation: Model = model_probability. Market = captured market_probability; if absent, implied from american_odds (−odds ÷ (−odds + 100), or 100 ÷ (odds + 100)). Gap = model − market, in percentage points. EV = p × (decimal − 1) − (1 − p) per 1u.
Sample: history_games on the row
Freshness: Read on every request (no cache); the market price is the one captured with the evaluation
Missing data: A missing probability or price shows “—” and no bar. Nothing is estimated.

Recent form · receptionsMeasured

Recent formNot available yet — requires a verified non-qualified intelligence row for this player and market. REPICOM does not estimate missing data.

Source & method · as of Oct 29, 3:46 AM ET

Source: repicom_nfl_intelligence_v1 — non-qualified, unlocked rows only, joined on player + market (+ game_id)
Statistic: Games that cleared the line, out of the last 10 (count)
Calculation: recent10_hits ÷ recent10_games. Dots show the count, not the game order.
Sample: recent10_games
Freshness: Read on every request (no cache)
Missing data: No confident join → “Recent form unavailable”.

Market map · every evaluated marketTap a market

REPICOM modelMarket impliedGap in pts

Compare playersPublic research only

Compare with

Kendrick Bourne

Javonte Williams

Historical sample

85 g25 g

Last-10 hit rate

——

Best model − market gap

+0.2 pts+1.3 pts

Markets evaluated

Open Javonte Williams

Game-by-game · real game logs vs the Hard Rock line

ReceptionsOver the line in 1 of last 4 with a Hard Rock line

2026 season: 4.2
Last 5: 3.4
Last 10: 3.8
Home · Away: 3.5 · 3.4

IND

BUF

JAX

MIA

LAC

SEA

DET

DEN

Date	Opp	Receptions	Line
Oct 25	vs DEN	3	3.5	Under
Oct 18	@ LA	5	—
Oct 11	vs DET	5	3.5	Over
Sep 27	@ SF	2	2.5	Under
Sep 20	vs SEA	2	2.5	Under
Sep 13	@ LAC	8	—
Jan 9	@ MIA	3	—
Jan 2	vs JAX	5	—
Dec 26	vs BUF	2	—
Dec 18	@ IND	3	—

Receiving yardsOver the line in 1 of last 4 with a Hard Rock line

2026 season: 39.0
Last 5: 31.8
Last 10: 41.1
Home · Away: 52.9 · 35.6

IND

BUF

JAX

MIA

LAC

SEA

DET

DEN

Date	Opp	Receiving yards	Line
Oct 25	vs DEN	9	33.5	Under
Oct 18	@ LA	47	—
Oct 11	vs DET	70	31.5	Over
Sep 27	@ SF	22	23.5	Under
Sep 20	vs SEA	11	24.5	Under
Sep 13	@ LAC	75	—
Jan 9	@ MIA	24	—
Jan 2	vs JAX	76	—
Dec 26	vs BUF	33	—
Dec 18	@ IND	44	—

Stats: nflverse game logs, regular season. Line: Hard Rock's final line before each game, when we captured one. Green bar = over the line, red = under.

Also researched in this game8 players

Javonte Williamsreceptions25 g sample Jacoby Brissettpassing yards67 g sample Brevyn Spann-Fordreceiving yards7 g sample Trey McBridereceptions7 g sample George Pickensreceptions9 g sample Dak Prescottpassing yards99 g sample Michael Wilsonreceptions7 g sample Ryan Flournoyreceiving yards7 g sample

SourcesResearch: repicom_public_nfl_intelligence_v1 (NO PLAY rows) · Form: repicom_nfl_intelligence_v1 (non-qualified rows only) · Read live at Oct 29, 3:46 AM ET.Member-qualified and locked player markets are never shown on public research pages. A research signal is not a REPICOM play.