Model signal exists, but the player does not meet the 20-game publication history floor.
A positive gap is not a pick: qualification also requires confidence, edge, expected value and a sufficient sample — those rules are unchanged.
Source & method · as of Oct 29, 3:49 AM ET
Source
repicom_public_nfl_intelligence_v1 (NO PLAY research rows, read server-side)
Statistic
Probability of the evaluated side, in %
Calculation
Model = model_probability. Market = captured market_probability; if absent, implied from american_odds (−odds ÷ (−odds + 100), or 100 ÷ (odds + 100)). Gap = model − market, in percentage points. EV = p × (decimal − 1) − (1 − p) per 1u.
Sample
history_games on the row
Freshness
Read on every request (no cache); the market price is the one captured with the evaluation
Missing data
A missing probability or price shows “—” and no bar. Nothing is estimated.
Recent form · receiving yardsMeasured
∅
Recent formNot available yet — requires a verified non-qualified intelligence row for this player and market. REPICOM does not estimate missing data.
Source & method · as of Oct 29, 3:49 AM ET
Source
repicom_nfl_intelligence_v1 — non-qualified, unlocked rows only, joined on player + market (+ game_id)
Statistic
Games that cleared the line, out of the last 10 (count)
Calculation
recent10_hits ÷ recent10_games. Dots show the count, not the game order.
Game-by-game · real game logs vs the Hard Rock line
ReceptionsOver the line in 2 of last 2 with a Hard Rock line
2026 season
1.3
Last 5
1.4
Last 10
1.3
Home · Away
0.3 · 2.0
2
NYG
0
WAS
1
BAL
0
HOU
0
TB
4
GB
2
PHI
Date
Opp
Receptions
Line
Oct 26
@ PHI
2
1.5
Over
Oct 18
@ GB
4
0.5
Over
Oct 8
vs TB
0
—
Oct 4
@ HOU
0
—
Sep 27
vs BAL
1
—
Sep 20
vs WAS
0
—
Sep 13
@ NYG
2
—
Receiving yardsOver the line in 1 of last 2 with a Hard Rock line
2026 season
11.3
Last 5
13.0
Last 10
11.3
Home · Away
6.3 · 15.0
14
NYG
0
WAS
19
BAL
0
HOU
0
TB
35
GB
11
PHI
Date
Opp
Receiving yards
Line
Oct 26
@ PHI
11
13.5
Under
Oct 18
@ GB
35
3.5
Over
Oct 8
vs TB
0
—
Oct 4
@ HOU
0
—
Sep 27
vs BAL
19
—
Sep 20
vs WAS
0
—
Sep 13
@ NYG
14
—
Stats: nflverse game logs, regular season. Line: Hard Rock's final line before each game, when we captured one. Green bar = over the line, red = under.
SourcesResearch: repicom_public_nfl_intelligence_v1 (NO PLAY rows) · Form: repicom_nfl_intelligence_v1 (non-qualified rows only) · Read live at Oct 29, 3:49 AM ET.Member-qualified and locked player markets are never shown on public research pages. A research signal is not a REPICOM play.
