Model signal exists, but the player does not meet the 20-game publication history floor.
A positive gap is not a pick: qualification also requires confidence, edge, expected value and a sufficient sample — those rules are unchanged.
Source & method · as of Oct 29, 3:45 AM ET
Source
repicom_public_nfl_intelligence_v1 (NO PLAY research rows, read server-side)
Statistic
Probability of the evaluated side, in %
Calculation
Model = model_probability. Market = captured market_probability; if absent, implied from american_odds (−odds ÷ (−odds + 100), or 100 ÷ (odds + 100)). Gap = model − market, in percentage points. EV = p × (decimal − 1) − (1 − p) per 1u.
Sample
history_games on the row
Freshness
Read on every request (no cache); the market price is the one captured with the evaluation
Missing data
A missing probability or price shows “—” and no bar. Nothing is estimated.
Recent form · receptionsMeasured
∅
Recent formNot available yet — requires a verified non-qualified intelligence row for this player and market. REPICOM does not estimate missing data.
Source & method · as of Oct 29, 3:45 AM ET
Source
repicom_nfl_intelligence_v1 — non-qualified, unlocked rows only, joined on player + market (+ game_id)
Statistic
Games that cleared the line, out of the last 10 (count)
Calculation
recent10_hits ÷ recent10_games. Dots show the count, not the game order.
Game-by-game · real game logs vs the Hard Rock line
ReceptionsOver the line in 3 of last 6 with a Hard Rock line
2026 season
5.3
Last 5
6.0
Last 10
5.3
Home · Away
3.3 · 6.8
5
LAC
2
SEA
11
SF
7
NYG
4
DET
4
LA
4
DEN
Date
Opp
Receptions
Line
Oct 25
vs DEN
4
4.5
Under
Oct 18
@ LA
4
—
Oct 11
vs DET
4
6.5
Under
Oct 4
@ NYG
7
5.5
Over
Sep 27
@ SF
11
3.5
Over
Sep 20
vs SEA
2
3.5
Under
Sep 13
@ LAC
5
3.5
Over
Receiving yardsOver the line in 4 of last 6 with a Hard Rock line
2026 season
53.6
Last 5
60.2
Last 10
53.6
Home · Away
34.3 · 68.0
56
LAC
18
SEA
89
SF
95
NYG
30
DET
32
LA
55
DEN
Date
Opp
Receiving yards
Line
Oct 25
vs DEN
55
49.5
Over
Oct 18
@ LA
32
—
Oct 11
vs DET
30
81.5
Under
Oct 4
@ NYG
95
57.5
Over
Sep 27
@ SF
89
45.5
Over
Sep 20
vs SEA
18
37.5
Under
Sep 13
@ LAC
56
41.5
Over
Stats: nflverse game logs, regular season. Line: Hard Rock's final line before each game, when we captured one. Green bar = over the line, red = under.
SourcesResearch: repicom_public_nfl_intelligence_v1 (NO PLAY rows) · Form: repicom_nfl_intelligence_v1 (non-qualified rows only) · Read live at Oct 29, 3:45 AM ET.Member-qualified and locked player markets are never shown on public research pages. A research signal is not a REPICOM play.
