Model signal exists, but the player does not meet the 20-game publication history floor.
A positive gap is not a pick: qualification also requires confidence, edge, expected value and a sufficient sample — those rules are unchanged.
Source & method · as of Oct 31, 10:49 AM ET
Source
repicom_public_nfl_intelligence_v1 (NO PLAY research rows, read server-side)
Statistic
Probability of the evaluated side, in %
Calculation
Model = model_probability. Market = captured market_probability; if absent, implied from american_odds (−odds ÷ (−odds + 100), or 100 ÷ (odds + 100)). Gap = model − market, in percentage points. EV = p × (decimal − 1) − (1 − p) per 1u.
Sample
history_games on the row
Freshness
Read on every request (no cache); the market price is the one captured with the evaluation
Missing data
A missing probability or price shows “—” and no bar. Nothing is estimated.
Recent form · rushing yardsMeasured
∅
Recent formNot available yet — requires a verified non-qualified intelligence row for this player and market. REPICOM does not estimate missing data.
Source & method · as of Oct 31, 10:49 AM ET
Source
repicom_nfl_intelligence_v1 — non-qualified, unlocked rows only, joined on player + market (+ game_id)
Statistic
Games that cleared the line, out of the last 10 (count)
Calculation
recent10_hits ÷ recent10_games. Dots show the count, not the game order.
Game-by-game · real game logs vs the Hard Rock line
Rushing yardsOver the line in 1 of last 5 with a Hard Rock line
2026 season
25.1
Last 5
21.0
Last 10
25.1
Home · Away
12.0 · 35.0
61
LAC
10
SEA
-1
SF
42
NYG
7
DET
38
LA
19
DEN
Date
Opp
Rushing yards
Line
Oct 25
vs DEN
19
31.5
Under
Oct 18
@ LA
38
—
Oct 11
vs DET
7
26.5
Under
Oct 4
@ NYG
42
18.5
Over
Sep 27
@ SF
-1
33.5
Under
Sep 20
vs SEA
10
35.5
Under
Sep 13
@ LAC
61
—
ReceptionsOver the line in 2 of last 2 with a Hard Rock line
2026 season
2.3
Last 5
2.4
Last 10
2.3
Home · Away
2.3 · 2.3
2
LAC
2
SEA
4
SF
2
NYG
2
DET
1
LA
3
DEN
Date
Opp
Receptions
Line
Oct 25
vs DEN
3
2.5
Over
Oct 18
@ LA
1
—
Oct 11
vs DET
2
1.5
Over
Oct 4
@ NYG
2
—
Sep 27
@ SF
4
—
Sep 20
vs SEA
2
—
Sep 13
@ LAC
2
—
Receiving yardsOver the line in 2 of last 3 with a Hard Rock line
2026 season
12.0
Last 5
13.2
Last 10
12.0
Home · Away
16.0 · 9.0
9
LAC
9
SEA
10
SF
7
NYG
9
DET
10
LA
30
DEN
Date
Opp
Receiving yards
Line
Oct 25
vs DEN
30
10.5
Over
Oct 18
@ LA
10
—
Oct 11
vs DET
9
9.5
Under
Oct 4
@ NYG
7
—
Sep 27
@ SF
10
7.5
Over
Sep 20
vs SEA
9
—
Sep 13
@ LAC
9
—
Stats: nflverse game logs, regular season. Line: Hard Rock's final line before each game, when we captured one. Green bar = over the line, red = under.
SourcesResearch: repicom_public_nfl_intelligence_v1 (NO PLAY rows) · Form: repicom_nfl_intelligence_v1 (non-qualified rows only) · Read live at Oct 31, 10:49 AM ET.Member-qualified and locked player markets are never shown on public research pages. A research signal is not a REPICOM play.
