Model signal exists, but MCP consistency did not reach a qualifying band.
A positive gap is not a pick: qualification also requires confidence, edge, expected value and a sufficient sample — those rules are unchanged.
Source & method · as of Oct 28, 3:34 PM ET
Source
repicom_public_nfl_intelligence_v1 (NO PLAY research rows, read server-side)
Statistic
Probability of the evaluated side, in %
Calculation
Model = model_probability. Market = captured market_probability; if absent, implied from american_odds (−odds ÷ (−odds + 100), or 100 ÷ (odds + 100)). Gap = model − market, in percentage points. EV = p × (decimal − 1) − (1 − p) per 1u.
Sample
history_games on the row
Freshness
Read on every request (no cache); the market price is the one captured with the evaluation
Missing data
A missing probability or price shows “—” and no bar. Nothing is estimated.
Recent form · receiving yardsMeasured
∅
Recent formNot available yet — requires a verified non-qualified intelligence row for this player and market. REPICOM does not estimate missing data.
Source & method · as of Oct 28, 3:34 PM ET
Source
repicom_nfl_intelligence_v1 — non-qualified, unlocked rows only, joined on player + market (+ game_id)
Statistic
Games that cleared the line, out of the last 10 (count)
Calculation
recent10_hits ÷ recent10_games. Dots show the count, not the game order.
Game-by-game · real game logs vs the Hard Rock line
ReceptionsOver the line in 4 of last 7 with a Hard Rock line
2026 season
3.7
Last 5
3.2
Last 10
4.8
Home · Away
5.6 · 4.9
8
CIN
6
LA
8
PIT
4
IND
6
NO
3
DAL
5
TEN
4
ATL
1
CLE
3
CIN
Date
Opp
Receptions
Line
Oct 25
vs CIN
3
3.5
Under
Oct 18
@ CLE
1
3.5
Under
Oct 11
@ ATL
4
3.5
Over
Oct 4
vs TEN
5
3.5
Over
Sep 27
@ DAL
3
3.5
Under
Sep 20
vs NO
6
4.5
Over
Sep 13
@ IND
4
3.5
Over
Jan 9
vs PIT
8
—
Jan 2
vs LA
6
—
Dec 26
@ CIN
8
—
Receiving yardsOver the line in 2 of last 7 with a Hard Rock line
2026 season
29.1
Last 5
21.2
Last 10
50.3
Home · Away
68.5 · 55.1
125
CIN
89
LA
85
PIT
49
IND
49
NO
24
DAL
27
TEN
28
ATL
4
CLE
23
CIN
Date
Opp
Receiving yards
Line
Oct 25
vs CIN
23
28.5
Under
Oct 18
@ CLE
4
27.5
Under
Oct 11
@ ATL
28
31.5
Under
Oct 4
vs TEN
27
35.5
Under
Sep 27
@ DAL
24
39.5
Under
Sep 20
vs NO
49
46.5
Over
Sep 13
@ IND
49
35.5
Over
Jan 9
vs PIT
85
—
Jan 2
vs LA
89
—
Dec 26
@ CIN
125
—
Stats: nflverse game logs, regular season. Line: Hard Rock's final line before each game, when we captured one. Green bar = over the line, red = under.
SourcesResearch: repicom_public_nfl_intelligence_v1 (NO PLAY rows) · Form: repicom_nfl_intelligence_v1 (non-qualified rows only) · Read live at Oct 28, 3:34 PM ET.Member-qualified and locked player markets are never shown on public research pages. A research signal is not a REPICOM play.
