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NFLNO PLAY research

Lamar Jackson

Position and team not on the research feed

Next gameBaltimore Ravens @ Buffalo BillsSun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM ETGame intelligence →
Historical sample Measured
70 games
Last 10 · passing yards Measured
—
MCP consistency Model
—
Markets evaluated
2
Evidence · passing yardsNO PLAY
Line Market 237.5
Price-115
Sportsbook—
REPICOM modelModel59.4%
Market impliedMarket53.5%
Model − market+5.9 ptsPrice -115
Edge Derived
+5.9 pts
EV per 1u Derived
+0.111u
Sample Measured
70 g
REPICOM decisionNO PLAY

Model signal exists, but MCP consistency did not reach a qualifying band.

A positive gap is not a pick: qualification also requires confidence, edge, expected value and a sufficient sample — those rules are unchanged.
Source & method · as of Oct 28, 3:34 PM ET
Source
repicom_public_nfl_intelligence_v1 (NO PLAY research rows, read server-side)
Statistic
Probability of the evaluated side, in %
Calculation
Model = model_probability. Market = captured market_probability; if absent, implied from american_odds (−odds ÷ (−odds + 100), or 100 ÷ (odds + 100)). Gap = model − market, in percentage points. EV = p × (decimal − 1) − (1 − p) per 1u.
Sample
history_games on the row
Freshness
Read on every request (no cache); the market price is the one captured with the evaluation
Missing data
A missing probability or price shows “—” and no bar. Nothing is estimated.
Recent form · passing yardsMeasured
Recent formNot available yet — requires a verified non-qualified intelligence row for this player and market. REPICOM does not estimate missing data.
Source & method · as of Oct 28, 3:34 PM ET
Source
repicom_nfl_intelligence_v1 — non-qualified, unlocked rows only, joined on player + market (+ game_id)
Statistic
Games that cleared the line, out of the last 10 (count)
Calculation
recent10_hits ÷ recent10_games. Dots show the count, not the game order.
Sample
recent10_games
Freshness
Read on every request (no cache)
Missing data
No confident join → “Recent form unavailable”.
Market map · every evaluated marketTap a market
REPICOM modelMarket impliedGap in pts
Compare playersPublic research only
Lamar Jackson
Derrick Henry
Historical sample
70 g101 g
Last-10 hit rate
—80%
Best model − market gap
+5.9 pts+1.9 pts
Markets evaluated
24
Open Derrick Henry
Game-by-game · real game logs vs the Hard Rock line
Passing yardsOver the line in 3 of last 4 with a Hard Rock line
2026 season
241.8
Last 5
196.8
Last 10
216.3
Home · Away
216.7 · 206.9
DateOppPassing yardsLine
Oct 4vs TEN222220.5Over
Sep 27@ DAL186241.5Under
Sep 20vs NO235213.5Over
Sep 13@ IND324219.5Over
Dec 12@ CLE17—
Dec 5@ PIT253—
Nov 28vs CLE165—
Nov 11@ MIA238—
Nov 7vs MIN266—
Oct 24vs CIN257—
Rushing yardsOver the line in 2 of last 4 with a Hard Rock line
2026 season
36.0
Last 5
29.8
Last 10
51.9
Home · Away
64.2 · 61.9
DateOppRushing yardsLine
Oct 4vs TEN2031.5Under
Sep 27@ DAL5039.5Over
Sep 20vs NO3440.5Under
Sep 13@ IND4036.5Over
Dec 12@ CLE5—
Dec 5@ PIT55—
Nov 28vs CLE68—
Nov 11@ MIA39—
Nov 7vs MIN120—
Oct 24vs CIN88—

Stats: nflverse game logs, regular season. Line: Hard Rock's final line before each game, when we captured one. Green bar = over the line, red = under.

Also researched in this game8 players
Derrick Henryreceptions8/10 last 10Keon Colemanreceptions7/10 last 10Khalil Shakirreceiving yards7/10 last 10Dalton Kincaidreceiving yards13 g sampleJustice Hillreceptions41 g sampleTy Johnsonreceiving yards51 g sampleRashod Batemanreceiving yards23 g sampleZay Flowersreceiving yards8 g sample
SourcesResearch: repicom_public_nfl_intelligence_v1 (NO PLAY rows) · Form: repicom_nfl_intelligence_v1 (non-qualified rows only) · Read live at Oct 28, 3:34 PM ET.Member-qualified and locked player markets are never shown on public research pages. A research signal is not a REPICOM play.