NFLNO PLAY research

Malik Willis

Position and team not on the research feed

Next gameNew England Patriots @ Miami DolphinsSun, Nov 1, 4:25 PM ETGame intelligence →

Historical sample Measured: 6 games
Last 10 · passing yards Measured: —
MCP consistency Model: —
Markets evaluated: 2

Evidence · passing yardsNO PLAY

Line Market 184.5

Price-115

Sportsbook—

REPICOM modelModel58.7%

Market impliedMarket53.5%

Model − market+5.2 ptsPrice -115

Edge Derived: +5.2 pts
EV per 1u Derived: +0.097u
Sample Measured: 6 g

REPICOM decisionNO PLAY

Model signal exists, but the player does not meet the 20-game publication history floor.

A positive gap is not a pick: qualification also requires confidence, edge, expected value and a sufficient sample — those rules are unchanged.

Source & method · as of Oct 28, 3:35 PM ET

Source: repicom_public_nfl_intelligence_v1 (NO PLAY research rows, read server-side)
Statistic: Probability of the evaluated side, in %
Calculation: Model = model_probability. Market = captured market_probability; if absent, implied from american_odds (−odds ÷ (−odds + 100), or 100 ÷ (odds + 100)). Gap = model − market, in percentage points. EV = p × (decimal − 1) − (1 − p) per 1u.
Sample: history_games on the row
Freshness: Read on every request (no cache); the market price is the one captured with the evaluation
Missing data: A missing probability or price shows “—” and no bar. Nothing is estimated.

Recent form · passing yardsMeasured

Recent formNot available yet — requires a verified non-qualified intelligence row for this player and market. REPICOM does not estimate missing data.

Source & method · as of Oct 28, 3:35 PM ET

Source: repicom_nfl_intelligence_v1 — non-qualified, unlocked rows only, joined on player + market (+ game_id)
Statistic: Games that cleared the line, out of the last 10 (count)
Calculation: recent10_hits ÷ recent10_games. Dots show the count, not the game order.
Sample: recent10_games
Freshness: Read on every request (no cache)
Missing data: No confident join → “Recent form unavailable”.

Market map · every evaluated marketTap a market

REPICOM modelMarket impliedGap in pts

Compare playersPublic research only

Compare with

Malik Willis

Jaylen Wright

Historical sample

6 g5 g

Last-10 hit rate

—100%

Best model − market gap

+5.2 pts+18.9 pts

Markets evaluated

Open Jaylen Wright

Game-by-game · real game logs vs the Hard Rock line

Passing yardsOver the line in 3 of last 5 with a Hard Rock line

2026 season: 176.2
Last 5: 167.4
Last 10: 176.2
Home · Away: 173.5 · 177.5

220

197

210

MIN

137

CIN

208

NYJ

Date	Opp	Passing yards	Line
Oct 25	@ NYJ	208	182.5	Over
Oct 11	vs CIN	137	189.5	Under
Oct 4	@ MIN	85	169.5	Under
Sep 27	vs KC	210	176.5	Over
Sep 20	@ SF	197	182.5	Over
Sep 13	@ LV	220	—

Rushing yardsOver the line in 3 of last 5 with a Hard Rock line

2026 season: 37.2
Last 5: 36.8
Last 10: 37.2
Home · Away: 65.0 · 23.3

MIN

CIN

NYJ

Date	Opp	Rushing yards	Line
Oct 25	@ NYJ	37	31.5	Over
Oct 11	vs CIN	74	32.5	Over
Oct 4	@ MIN	11	29.5	Under
Sep 27	vs KC	56	33.5	Over
Sep 20	@ SF	6	36.5	Under
Sep 13	@ LV	39	—

Stats: nflverse game logs, regular season. Line: Hard Rock's final line before each game, when we captured one. Green bar = over the line, red = under.

Also researched in this game8 players

Jaylen Wrightrushing yards5/5 last 10 Malik Washingtonreceiving yards5/6 last 10 A.J. Brownreceptions8/10 last 10 Hunter Henryreceptions80 g sample Ollie Gordon IIreceptions5 g sample TreVeyon Hendersonrushing yards7/10 last 10 Greg Dulcichreceiving yards5 g sample Rhamondre Stevensonreceptions24 g sample

SourcesResearch: repicom_public_nfl_intelligence_v1 (NO PLAY rows) · Form: repicom_nfl_intelligence_v1 (non-qualified rows only) · Read live at Oct 28, 3:35 PM ET.Member-qualified and locked player markets are never shown on public research pages. A research signal is not a REPICOM play.