Model signal exists, but the player does not meet the 20-game publication history floor.
A positive gap is not a pick: qualification also requires confidence, edge, expected value and a sufficient sample — those rules are unchanged.
Source & method · as of Oct 28, 3:34 PM ET
Source
repicom_public_nfl_intelligence_v1 (NO PLAY research rows, read server-side)
Statistic
Probability of the evaluated side, in %
Calculation
Model = model_probability. Market = captured market_probability; if absent, implied from american_odds (−odds ÷ (−odds + 100), or 100 ÷ (odds + 100)). Gap = model − market, in percentage points. EV = p × (decimal − 1) − (1 − p) per 1u.
Sample
history_games on the row
Freshness
Read on every request (no cache); the market price is the one captured with the evaluation
Missing data
A missing probability or price shows “—” and no bar. Nothing is estimated.
Recent form · rushing yardsMeasured
Cleared the line, last 105/5100%
Count of hits in the sample, not an ordered game log.
Current miss streak
0
MCP consistency Model
31.7
Line on record
16.5
Source & method · as of Oct 28, 3:34 PM ET
Source
repicom_nfl_intelligence_v1 — non-qualified, unlocked rows only, joined on player + market (+ game_id)
Statistic
Games that cleared the line, out of the last 10 (count)
Calculation
recent10_hits ÷ recent10_games. Dots show the count, not the game order.
Game-by-game · real game logs vs the Hard Rock line
Rushing yardsOver the line in 0 of last 3 with a Hard Rock line
2026 season
7.2
Last 5
7.2
Last 10
7.2
Home · Away
11.0 · 6.3
-1
LV
11
SF
7
MIN
11
CIN
8
NYJ
Date
Opp
Rushing yards
Line
Oct 25
@ NYJ
8
15.5
Under
Oct 11
vs CIN
11
22.5
Under
Oct 4
@ MIN
7
28.5
Under
Sep 20
@ SF
11
—
Sep 13
@ LV
-1
—
ReceptionsOver the line in 0 of last 1 with a Hard Rock line
2026 season
0.0
Last 5
0.0
Last 10
0.0
Home · Away
0.0 · 0.0
0
LV
0
SF
0
MIN
0
CIN
0
NYJ
Date
Opp
Receptions
Line
Oct 25
@ NYJ
0
—
Oct 11
vs CIN
0
—
Oct 4
@ MIN
0
1.5
Under
Sep 20
@ SF
0
—
Sep 13
@ LV
0
—
Receiving yardsOver the line in 0 of last 1 with a Hard Rock line
2026 season
0.0
Last 5
0.0
Last 10
0.0
Home · Away
0.0 · 0.0
0
LV
0
SF
0
MIN
0
CIN
0
NYJ
Date
Opp
Receiving yards
Line
Oct 25
@ NYJ
0
—
Oct 11
vs CIN
0
—
Oct 4
@ MIN
0
6.5
Under
Sep 20
@ SF
0
—
Sep 13
@ LV
0
—
Stats: nflverse game logs, regular season. Line: Hard Rock's final line before each game, when we captured one. Green bar = over the line, red = under.
SourcesResearch: repicom_public_nfl_intelligence_v1 (NO PLAY rows) · Form: repicom_nfl_intelligence_v1 (non-qualified rows only) · Read live at Oct 28, 3:34 PM ET.Member-qualified and locked player markets are never shown on public research pages. A research signal is not a REPICOM play.