NFLNO PLAY research

Hunter Henry

Position and team not on the research feed

Next gameNew England Patriots @ Miami DolphinsSun, Nov 1, 4:25 PM ETGame intelligence →
Historical sample Measured
80 games
Last 10 · receptions Measured
—
MCP consistency Model
—
Markets evaluated
4
Evidence · receptionsNO PLAY
Line Market 3.5
Price-115
Sportsbook—
REPICOM modelModel57.8%
Market impliedMarket53.5%
Model − market+4.4 ptsPrice -115
Edge Derived
+4.4 pts
EV per 1u Derived
+0.081u
Sample Measured
80 g
REPICOM decisionNO PLAY

Model signal exists, but MCP consistency did not reach a qualifying band.

A positive gap is not a pick: qualification also requires confidence, edge, expected value and a sufficient sample — those rules are unchanged.
Source & method · as of Oct 28, 3:35 PM ET
Source
repicom_public_nfl_intelligence_v1 (NO PLAY research rows, read server-side)
Statistic
Probability of the evaluated side, in %
Calculation
Model = model_probability. Market = captured market_probability; if absent, implied from american_odds (−odds ÷ (−odds + 100), or 100 ÷ (odds + 100)). Gap = model − market, in percentage points. EV = p × (decimal − 1) − (1 − p) per 1u.
Sample
history_games on the row
Freshness
Read on every request (no cache); the market price is the one captured with the evaluation
Missing data
A missing probability or price shows “—” and no bar. Nothing is estimated.
Recent form · receptionsMeasured
Recent formNot available yet — requires a verified non-qualified intelligence row for this player and market. REPICOM does not estimate missing data.
Source & method · as of Oct 28, 3:35 PM ET
Source
repicom_nfl_intelligence_v1 — non-qualified, unlocked rows only, joined on player + market (+ game_id)
Statistic
Games that cleared the line, out of the last 10 (count)
Calculation
recent10_hits ÷ recent10_games. Dots show the count, not the game order.
Sample
recent10_games
Freshness
Read on every request (no cache)
Missing data
No confident join → “Recent form unavailable”.
Market map · every evaluated marketTap a market
REPICOM modelMarket impliedGap in pts
Compare playersPublic research only
Hunter Henry
Jaylen Wright
Historical sample
80 g5 g
Last-10 hit rate
—100%
Best model − market gap
+4.4 pts+18.9 pts
Markets evaluated
42
Open Jaylen Wright
Game-by-game · real game logs vs the Hard Rock line
ReceptionsOver the line in 3 of last 6 with a Hard Rock line
2026 season
3.7
Last 5
4.0
Last 10
3.5
Home · Away
3.2 · 3.9
DateOppReceptionsLine
Oct 22@ CHI73.5Over
Oct 18vs NYJ42.5Over
Oct 11vs LV33.5Under
Oct 4@ BUF53.5Over
Sep 27@ JAX13.5Under
Sep 20vs PIT33.5Under
Sep 9@ SEA3—
Jan 9@ MIA5—
Jan 2vs JAX3—
Dec 26vs BUF1—
Receiving yardsOver the line in 5 of last 6 with a Hard Rock line
2026 season
42.3
Last 5
46.0
Last 10
42.8
Home · Away
31.1 · 45.8
DateOppReceiving yardsLine
Oct 22@ CHI7135.5Over
Oct 18vs NYJ4827.5Over
Oct 11vs LV4437.5Over
Oct 4@ BUF6231.5Over
Sep 27@ JAX541.5Under
Sep 20vs PIT4037.5Over
Sep 9@ SEA26—
Jan 9@ MIA86—
Jan 2vs JAX37—
Dec 26vs BUF9—

Stats: nflverse game logs, regular season. Line: Hard Rock's final line before each game, when we captured one. Green bar = over the line, red = under.

SourcesResearch: repicom_public_nfl_intelligence_v1 (NO PLAY rows) · Form: repicom_nfl_intelligence_v1 (non-qualified rows only) · Read live at Oct 28, 3:35 PM ET.Member-qualified and locked player markets are never shown on public research pages. A research signal is not a REPICOM play.