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NFLNO PLAY research

Jordan Love

Position and team not on the research feed

Next gameCarolina Panthers @ Green Bay PackersThu, Oct 29, 8:15 PM ETGame intelligence →
Historical sample Measured
17 games
Last 10 · passing yards Measured
6/10
MCP consistency Model
37.6
Markets evaluated
2
Evidence · passing yardsNO PLAY
Line MarketOVER 261.5
Price-115
Sportsbook—
REPICOM modelModel52.4%
Market impliedMarket53.5%
Model − market-1.1 ptsPrice -115
Edge Derived
-1.1 pts
EV per 1u Derived
-0.021u
Sample Measured
17 g
REPICOM decisionNO PLAY

Model signal exists, but the player does not meet the 20-game publication history floor.

A positive gap is not a pick: qualification also requires confidence, edge, expected value and a sufficient sample — those rules are unchanged.
Source & method · as of Oct 28, 12:08 AM ET
Source
repicom_public_nfl_intelligence_v1 (NO PLAY research rows, read server-side)
Statistic
Probability of the evaluated side, in %
Calculation
Model = model_probability. Market = captured market_probability; if absent, implied from american_odds (−odds ÷ (−odds + 100), or 100 ÷ (odds + 100)). Gap = model − market, in percentage points. EV = p × (decimal − 1) − (1 − p) per 1u.
Sample
history_games on the row
Freshness
Read on every request (no cache); the market price is the one captured with the evaluation
Missing data
A missing probability or price shows “—” and no bar. Nothing is estimated.
Recent form · passing yardsMeasured
Cleared the line, last 106/1060%
Count of hits in the sample, not an ordered game log.
Current miss streak
0
MCP consistency Model
37.6
Line on record
261.5
Source & method · as of Oct 28, 12:08 AM ET
Source
repicom_nfl_intelligence_v1 — non-qualified, unlocked rows only, joined on player + market (+ game_id)
Statistic
Games that cleared the line, out of the last 10 (count)
Calculation
recent10_hits ÷ recent10_games. Dots show the count, not the game order.
Sample
recent10_games
Freshness
Read on every request (no cache)
Missing data
No confident join → “Recent form unavailable”.
Market map · every evaluated marketTap a market
REPICOM modelMarket impliedGap in pts
Compare playersPublic research only
Jordan Love
John Metchie III
Historical sample
17 g8 g
Last-10 hit rate
60%88%
Best model − market gap
-1.1 pts+16.3 pts
Markets evaluated
24
Open John Metchie III
Game-by-game · real game logs vs the Hard Rock line
Passing yardsOver the line in 2 of last 6 with a Hard Rock line
2026 season
279.7
Last 5
285.2
Last 10
211.1
Home · Away
194.8 · 174.4
DateOppPassing yardsLine
Oct 25@ DET274285.5Under
Oct 18vs DAL276279.5Under
Oct 11vs CHI367237.5Over
Oct 4@ TB197243.5Under
Sep 24vs ATL312—
Sep 20@ NYJ145255.5Under
Sep 13@ MIN387238.5Over
Jan 9@ DET134—
Jan 2vs MIN19—
Nov 21@ MIN0—
Rushing yardsOver the line in 1 of last 6 with a Hard Rock line
2026 season
1.4
Last 5
2.0
Last 10
1.7
Home · Away
4.8 · 1.6
DateOppRushing yardsLine
Oct 25@ DET07.5Under
Oct 18vs DAL126.5Over
Oct 11vs CHI66.5Under
Oct 4@ TB-84.5Under
Sep 24vs ATL0—
Sep 20@ NYJ07.5Under
Sep 13@ MIN09.5Under
Jan 9@ DET-1—
Jan 2vs MIN9—
Nov 21@ MIN-1—

Stats: nflverse game logs, regular season. Line: Hard Rock's final line before each game, when we captured one. Green bar = over the line, red = under.

Also researched in this game8 players
John Metchie IIIreceptions7/8 last 10Tetairoa McMillanreceptions5/7 last 10Christian Watsonreceiving yards7/10 last 10Tucker Kraftreceiving yards7/10 last 10MarShawn Lloydreceiving yards5/7 last 10Chuba Hubbardreceptions6/10 last 10Josh Jacobsreceiving yards7/10 last 10Jalen Cokerreceiving yards4/6 last 10
SourcesResearch: repicom_public_nfl_intelligence_v1 (NO PLAY rows) · Form: repicom_nfl_intelligence_v1 (non-qualified rows only) · Read live at Oct 28, 12:08 AM ET.Member-qualified and locked player markets are never shown on public research pages. A research signal is not a REPICOM play.