Model signal exists, but the player does not meet the 20-game publication history floor.
A positive gap is not a pick: qualification also requires confidence, edge, expected value and a sufficient sample — those rules are unchanged.
Source & method · as of Nov 1, 3:36 PM ET
Source
repicom_public_nfl_intelligence_v1 (NO PLAY research rows, read server-side)
Statistic
Probability of the evaluated side, in %
Calculation
Model = model_probability. Market = captured market_probability; if absent, implied from american_odds (−odds ÷ (−odds + 100), or 100 ÷ (odds + 100)). Gap = model − market, in percentage points. EV = p × (decimal − 1) − (1 − p) per 1u.
Sample
history_games on the row
Freshness
Read on every request (no cache); the market price is the one captured with the evaluation
Missing data
A missing probability or price shows “—” and no bar. Nothing is estimated.
Recent form · rushing yardsMeasured
∅
Recent formNot available yet — requires a verified non-qualified intelligence row for this player and market. REPICOM does not estimate missing data.
Source & method · as of Nov 1, 3:36 PM ET
Source
repicom_nfl_intelligence_v1 — non-qualified, unlocked rows only, joined on player + market (+ game_id)
Statistic
Games that cleared the line, out of the last 10 (count)
Calculation
recent10_hits ÷ recent10_games. Dots show the count, not the game order.
Game-by-game · real game logs vs the Hard Rock line
Rushing yardsOver the line in 2 of last 5 with a Hard Rock line
2026 season
57.6
Last 5
61.6
Last 10
57.6
Home · Away
61.3 · 52.7
3
NE
92
ARI
14
WAS
81
LAC
61
SF
52
DEN
100
KC
Date
Opp
Rushing yards
Line
Oct 25
vs KC
100
52.5
Over
Oct 15
@ DEN
52
68.5
Under
Oct 11
vs SF
61
63.5
Under
Oct 4
vs LAC
81
44.5
Over
Sep 27
@ WAS
14
30.5
Under
Sep 20
@ ARI
92
—
Sep 9
vs NE
3
—
ReceptionsOver the line in 1 of last 3 with a Hard Rock line
2026 season
0.9
Last 5
1.2
Last 10
0.9
Home · Away
1.5 · 0.0
0
NE
0
ARI
0
WAS
3
LAC
2
SF
0
DEN
1
KC
Date
Opp
Receptions
Line
Oct 25
vs KC
1
1.5
Under
Oct 15
@ DEN
0
1.5
Under
Oct 11
vs SF
2
1.5
Over
Oct 4
vs LAC
3
—
Sep 27
@ WAS
0
—
Sep 20
@ ARI
0
—
Sep 9
vs NE
0
—
Receiving yardsOver the line in 1 of last 3 with a Hard Rock line
2026 season
9.3
Last 5
13.0
Last 10
9.3
Home · Away
16.3 · 0.0
0
NE
0
ARI
0
WAS
39
LAC
11
SF
0
DEN
15
KC
Date
Opp
Receiving yards
Line
Oct 25
vs KC
15
5.5
Over
Oct 15
@ DEN
0
9.5
Under
Oct 11
vs SF
11
12.5
Under
Oct 4
vs LAC
39
—
Sep 27
@ WAS
0
—
Sep 20
@ ARI
0
—
Sep 9
vs NE
0
—
Stats: nflverse game logs, regular season. Line: Hard Rock's final line before each game, when we captured one. Green bar = over the line, red = under.
SourcesResearch: repicom_public_nfl_intelligence_v1 (NO PLAY rows) · Form: repicom_nfl_intelligence_v1 (non-qualified rows only) · Read live at Nov 1, 3:36 PM ET.Member-qualified and locked player markets are never shown on public research pages. A research signal is not a REPICOM play.
