NFLNO PLAY research

Drake Maye

Position and team not on the research feed

Next gameNew England Patriots @ Miami DolphinsSun, Nov 1, 4:25 PM ETGame intelligence →

Historical sample Measured: 11 games
Last 10 · passing yards Measured: —
MCP consistency Model: —
Markets evaluated: 2

Evidence · passing yardsNO PLAY

Line Market 233.5

Price-115

Sportsbook—

REPICOM modelModel52.0%

Market impliedMarket53.5%

Model − market-1.5 ptsPrice -115

Edge Derived: -1.5 pts
EV per 1u Derived: -0.028u
Sample Measured: 11 g

REPICOM decisionNO PLAY

Model signal exists, but the player does not meet the 20-game publication history floor.

A positive gap is not a pick: qualification also requires confidence, edge, expected value and a sufficient sample — those rules are unchanged.

Source & method · as of Oct 28, 3:35 PM ET

Source: repicom_public_nfl_intelligence_v1 (NO PLAY research rows, read server-side)
Statistic: Probability of the evaluated side, in %
Calculation: Model = model_probability. Market = captured market_probability; if absent, implied from american_odds (−odds ÷ (−odds + 100), or 100 ÷ (odds + 100)). Gap = model − market, in percentage points. EV = p × (decimal − 1) − (1 − p) per 1u.
Sample: history_games on the row
Freshness: Read on every request (no cache); the market price is the one captured with the evaluation
Missing data: A missing probability or price shows “—” and no bar. Nothing is estimated.

Recent form · passing yardsMeasured

Recent formNot available yet — requires a verified non-qualified intelligence row for this player and market. REPICOM does not estimate missing data.

Source & method · as of Oct 28, 3:35 PM ET

Source: repicom_nfl_intelligence_v1 — non-qualified, unlocked rows only, joined on player + market (+ game_id)
Statistic: Games that cleared the line, out of the last 10 (count)
Calculation: recent10_hits ÷ recent10_games. Dots show the count, not the game order.
Sample: recent10_games
Freshness: Read on every request (no cache)
Missing data: No confident join → “Recent form unavailable”.

Market map · every evaluated marketTap a market

REPICOM modelMarket impliedGap in pts

Compare playersPublic research only

Compare with

Drake Maye

Jaylen Wright

Historical sample

11 g5 g

Last-10 hit rate

—100%

Best model − market gap

-1.5 pts+18.9 pts

Markets evaluated

Open Jaylen Wright

Game-by-game · real game logs vs the Hard Rock line

Passing yardsOver the line in 3 of last 6 with a Hard Rock line

2026 season: 254.9
Last 5: 279.6
Last 10: 254.9
Home · Away: 272.3 · 241.8

178

SEA

208

PIT

199

JAX

269

BUF

374

235

NYJ

321

CHI

Date	Opp	Passing yards	Line
Oct 22	@ CHI	321	252.5	Over
Oct 18	vs NYJ	235	237.5	Under
Oct 11	vs LV	374	227.5	Over
Oct 4	@ BUF	269	232.5	Over
Sep 27	@ JAX	199	224.5	Under
Sep 20	vs PIT	208	223.5	Under
Sep 9	@ SEA	178	—

Rushing yardsOver the line in 1 of last 6 with a Hard Rock line

2026 season: 30.1
Last 5: 29.4
Last 10: 30.1
Home · Away: 22.0 · 36.3

SEA

PIT

JAX

BUF

NYJ

CHI

Date	Opp	Rushing yards	Line
Oct 22	@ CHI	26	28.5	Under
Oct 18	vs NYJ	24	27.5	Under
Oct 11	vs LV	25	31.5	Under
Oct 4	@ BUF	54	26.5	Over
Sep 27	@ JAX	18	26.5	Under
Sep 20	vs PIT	17	25.5	Under
Sep 9	@ SEA	47	—

Stats: nflverse game logs, regular season. Line: Hard Rock's final line before each game, when we captured one. Green bar = over the line, red = under.

Also researched in this game8 players

Jaylen Wrightrushing yards5/5 last 10 Malik Washingtonreceiving yards5/6 last 10 A.J. Brownreceptions8/10 last 10 Malik Willispassing yards6 g sample Hunter Henryreceptions80 g sample Ollie Gordon IIreceptions5 g sample TreVeyon Hendersonrushing yards7/10 last 10 Greg Dulcichreceiving yards5 g sample

SourcesResearch: repicom_public_nfl_intelligence_v1 (NO PLAY rows) · Form: repicom_nfl_intelligence_v1 (non-qualified rows only) · Read live at Oct 28, 3:35 PM ET.Member-qualified and locked player markets are never shown on public research pages. A research signal is not a REPICOM play.