NFLNO PLAY research

DJ Moore

Position and team not on the research feed

Next gameBaltimore Ravens @ Buffalo BillsSun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM ETGame intelligence →

Historical sample Measured: 69 games
Last 10 · receptions Measured: —
MCP consistency Model: —
Markets evaluated: 4

Evidence · receptionsNO PLAY

Line Market 4.5

Price+115

Sportsbook—

REPICOM modelModel56.3%

Market impliedMarket46.5%

Model − market+9.8 ptsPrice +115

Edge Derived: +9.8 pts
EV per 1u Derived: +0.211u
Sample Measured: 69 g

REPICOM decisionNO PLAY

Model confidence is below the 60% NFL qualification floor.

A positive gap is not a pick: qualification also requires confidence, edge, expected value and a sufficient sample — those rules are unchanged.

Source & method · as of Oct 28, 3:34 PM ET

Source: repicom_public_nfl_intelligence_v1 (NO PLAY research rows, read server-side)
Statistic: Probability of the evaluated side, in %
Calculation: Model = model_probability. Market = captured market_probability; if absent, implied from american_odds (−odds ÷ (−odds + 100), or 100 ÷ (odds + 100)). Gap = model − market, in percentage points. EV = p × (decimal − 1) − (1 − p) per 1u.
Sample: history_games on the row
Freshness: Read on every request (no cache); the market price is the one captured with the evaluation
Missing data: A missing probability or price shows “—” and no bar. Nothing is estimated.

Recent form · receptionsMeasured

Recent formNot available yet — requires a verified non-qualified intelligence row for this player and market. REPICOM does not estimate missing data.

Source & method · as of Oct 28, 3:34 PM ET

Source: repicom_nfl_intelligence_v1 — non-qualified, unlocked rows only, joined on player + market (+ game_id)
Statistic: Games that cleared the line, out of the last 10 (count)
Calculation: recent10_hits ÷ recent10_games. Dots show the count, not the game order.
Sample: recent10_games
Freshness: Read on every request (no cache)
Missing data: No confident join → “Recent form unavailable”.

Market map · every evaluated marketTap a market

REPICOM modelMarket impliedGap in pts

Compare playersPublic research only

Compare with

DJ Moore

Derrick Henry

Historical sample

69 g101 g

Last-10 hit rate

—80%

Best model − market gap

+9.8 pts+1.9 pts

Markets evaluated

Open Derrick Henry

Game-by-game · real game logs vs the Hard Rock line

ReceptionsOver the line in 0 of last 2 with a Hard Rock line

2026 season: 3.0
Last 5: 3.8
Last 10: 4.3
Home · Away: 4.5 · 4.8

MIA

ATL

BUF

HOU

DET

LAC

Date	Opp	Receptions	Line
Oct 4	vs NE	1	3.5	Under
Sep 27	vs LAC	6	—
Sep 17	vs DET	0	4.5	Under
Sep 13	@ HOU	5	—
Jan 9	@ TB	7	—
Jan 2	@ NO	3	—
Dec 26	vs TB	5	—
Dec 19	@ BUF	6	—
Dec 12	vs ATL	6	—
Nov 28	@ MIA	4	—

Receiving yardsOver the line in 0 of last 2 with a Hard Rock line

2026 season: 44.5
Last 5: 53.0
Last 10: 58.4
Home · Away: 64.4 · 74.1

103

MIA

ATL

BUF

100

HOU

DET

LAC

Date	Opp	Receiving yards	Line
Oct 4	vs NE	11	50.5	Under
Sep 27	vs LAC	67	—
Sep 17	vs DET	0	59.5	Under
Sep 13	@ HOU	100	—
Jan 9	@ TB	87	—
Jan 2	@ NO	29	—
Dec 26	vs TB	55	—
Dec 19	@ BUF	48	—
Dec 12	vs ATL	84	—
Nov 28	@ MIA	103	—

Stats: nflverse game logs, regular season. Line: Hard Rock's final line before each game, when we captured one. Green bar = over the line, red = under.

Also researched in this game8 players

Derrick Henryreceptions8/10 last 10 Keon Colemanreceptions7/10 last 10 Khalil Shakirreceiving yards7/10 last 10 Dalton Kincaidreceiving yards13 g sample Lamar Jacksonpassing yards70 g sample Justice Hillreceptions41 g sample Ty Johnsonreceiving yards51 g sample Rashod Batemanreceiving yards23 g sample

SourcesResearch: repicom_public_nfl_intelligence_v1 (NO PLAY rows) · Form: repicom_nfl_intelligence_v1 (non-qualified rows only) · Read live at Oct 28, 3:34 PM ET.Member-qualified and locked player markets are never shown on public research pages. A research signal is not a REPICOM play.