Model signal exists, but MCP consistency did not reach a qualifying band.
A positive gap is not a pick: qualification also requires confidence, edge, expected value and a sufficient sample — those rules are unchanged.
Source & method · as of Oct 31, 12:23 AM ET
Source
repicom_public_nfl_intelligence_v1 (NO PLAY research rows, read server-side)
Statistic
Probability of the evaluated side, in %
Calculation
Model = model_probability. Market = captured market_probability; if absent, implied from american_odds (−odds ÷ (−odds + 100), or 100 ÷ (odds + 100)). Gap = model − market, in percentage points. EV = p × (decimal − 1) − (1 − p) per 1u.
Sample
history_games on the row
Freshness
Read on every request (no cache); the market price is the one captured with the evaluation
Missing data
A missing probability or price shows “—” and no bar. Nothing is estimated.
Recent form · receiving yardsMeasured
∅
Recent formNot available yet — requires a verified non-qualified intelligence row for this player and market. REPICOM does not estimate missing data.
Source & method · as of Oct 31, 12:23 AM ET
Source
repicom_nfl_intelligence_v1 — non-qualified, unlocked rows only, joined on player + market (+ game_id)
Statistic
Games that cleared the line, out of the last 10 (count)
Calculation
recent10_hits ÷ recent10_games. Dots show the count, not the game order.
Game-by-game · real game logs vs the Hard Rock line
ReceptionsNo Hard Rock lines in these games
2026 season
4.3
Last 5
4.8
Last 10
4.8
Home · Away
3.9 · 3.4
5
JAX
5
MIN
6
BAL
6
SF
2
SF
8
DEN
5
PHI
5
BUF
4
ARI
2
LV
Date
Opp
Receptions
Line
Oct 25
@ LV
2
—
Oct 18
vs ARI
4
—
Oct 12
vs BUF
5
—
Oct 4
@ PHI
5
—
Sep 27
@ DEN
8
—
Sep 10
vs SF
2
—
Jan 9
vs SF
6
—
Jan 2
@ BAL
6
—
Dec 26
@ MIN
5
—
Dec 5
vs JAX
5
—
Receiving yardsNo Hard Rock lines in these games
2026 season
43.3
Last 5
49.6
Last 10
47.3
Home · Away
43.1 · 31.0
48
JAX
41
MIN
69
BAL
55
SF
12
SF
62
DEN
67
PHI
83
BUF
22
ARI
14
LV
Date
Opp
Receiving yards
Line
Oct 25
@ LV
14
—
Oct 18
vs ARI
22
—
Oct 12
vs BUF
83
—
Oct 4
@ PHI
67
—
Sep 27
@ DEN
62
—
Sep 10
vs SF
12
—
Jan 9
vs SF
55
—
Jan 2
@ BAL
69
—
Dec 26
@ MIN
41
—
Dec 5
vs JAX
48
—
Stats: nflverse game logs, regular season. Line: Hard Rock's final line before each game, when we captured one. Green bar = over the line, red = under.
SourcesResearch: repicom_public_nfl_intelligence_v1 (NO PLAY rows) · Form: repicom_nfl_intelligence_v1 (non-qualified rows only) · Read live at Oct 31, 12:23 AM ET.Member-qualified and locked player markets are never shown on public research pages. A research signal is not a REPICOM play.
