Model signal exists, but the player does not meet the 20-game publication history floor.
A positive gap is not a pick: qualification also requires confidence, edge, expected value and a sufficient sample — those rules are unchanged.
Source & method · as of Oct 29, 3:48 AM ET
Source
repicom_public_nfl_intelligence_v1 (NO PLAY research rows, read server-side)
Statistic
Probability of the evaluated side, in %
Calculation
Model = model_probability. Market = captured market_probability; if absent, implied from american_odds (−odds ÷ (−odds + 100), or 100 ÷ (odds + 100)). Gap = model − market, in percentage points. EV = p × (decimal − 1) − (1 − p) per 1u.
Sample
history_games on the row
Freshness
Read on every request (no cache); the market price is the one captured with the evaluation
Missing data
A missing probability or price shows “—” and no bar. Nothing is estimated.
Recent form · rushing yardsMeasured
∅
Recent formNot available yet — requires a verified non-qualified intelligence row for this player and market. REPICOM does not estimate missing data.
Source & method · as of Oct 29, 3:48 AM ET
Source
repicom_nfl_intelligence_v1 — non-qualified, unlocked rows only, joined on player + market (+ game_id)
Statistic
Games that cleared the line, out of the last 10 (count)
Calculation
recent10_hits ÷ recent10_games. Dots show the count, not the game order.
Game-by-game · real game logs vs the Hard Rock line
Rushing yardsNo Hard Rock lines in these games
2026 season
70.3
Last 5
73.2
Last 10
70.3
Home · Away
56.3 · 89.0
41
SF
85
NYG
88
DEN
80
PHI
49
BUF
50
ARI
99
LV
Date
Opp
Rushing yards
Line
Oct 25
@ LV
99
—
Oct 18
vs ARI
50
—
Oct 12
vs BUF
49
—
Oct 4
@ PHI
80
—
Sep 27
@ DEN
88
—
Sep 21
vs NYG
85
—
Sep 10
vs SF
41
—
ReceptionsNo Hard Rock lines in these games
2026 season
4.6
Last 5
5.4
Last 10
4.6
Home · Away
3.5 · 6.0
3
SF
2
NYG
6
DEN
10
PHI
6
BUF
3
ARI
2
LV
Date
Opp
Receptions
Line
Oct 25
@ LV
2
—
Oct 18
vs ARI
3
—
Oct 12
vs BUF
6
—
Oct 4
@ PHI
10
—
Sep 27
@ DEN
6
—
Sep 21
vs NYG
2
—
Sep 10
vs SF
3
—
Receiving yardsNo Hard Rock lines in these games
2026 season
34.1
Last 5
40.6
Last 10
34.1
Home · Away
20.0 · 53.0
24
SF
12
NYG
70
DEN
67
PHI
27
BUF
17
ARI
22
LV
Date
Opp
Receiving yards
Line
Oct 25
@ LV
22
—
Oct 18
vs ARI
17
—
Oct 12
vs BUF
27
—
Oct 4
@ PHI
67
—
Sep 27
@ DEN
70
—
Sep 21
vs NYG
12
—
Sep 10
vs SF
24
—
Stats: nflverse game logs, regular season. Line: Hard Rock's final line before each game, when we captured one. Green bar = over the line, red = under.
SourcesResearch: repicom_public_nfl_intelligence_v1 (NO PLAY rows) · Form: repicom_nfl_intelligence_v1 (non-qualified rows only) · Read live at Oct 29, 3:48 AM ET.Member-qualified and locked player markets are never shown on public research pages. A research signal is not a REPICOM play.