Model signal exists, but the player does not meet the 20-game publication history floor.
A positive gap is not a pick: qualification also requires confidence, edge, expected value and a sufficient sample — those rules are unchanged.
Source & method · as of Oct 28, 10:05 PM ET
Source
repicom_public_nfl_intelligence_v1 (NO PLAY research rows, read server-side)
Statistic
Probability of the evaluated side, in %
Calculation
Model = model_probability. Market = captured market_probability; if absent, implied from american_odds (−odds ÷ (−odds + 100), or 100 ÷ (odds + 100)). Gap = model − market, in percentage points. EV = p × (decimal − 1) − (1 − p) per 1u.
Sample
history_games on the row
Freshness
Read on every request (no cache); the market price is the one captured with the evaluation
Missing data
A missing probability or price shows “—” and no bar. Nothing is estimated.
Recent form · rushing yardsMeasured
∅
Recent formNot available yet — requires a verified non-qualified intelligence row for this player and market. REPICOM does not estimate missing data.
Source & method · as of Oct 28, 10:05 PM ET
Source
repicom_nfl_intelligence_v1 — non-qualified, unlocked rows only, joined on player + market (+ game_id)
Statistic
Games that cleared the line, out of the last 10 (count)
Calculation
recent10_hits ÷ recent10_games. Dots show the count, not the game order.
Game-by-game · real game logs vs the Hard Rock line
Rushing yardsNo Hard Rock lines in these games
2026 season
45.1
Last 5
36.6
Last 10
45.1
Home · Away
48.5 · 40.7
54
SF
79
NYG
15
DEN
14
PHI
19
BUF
42
ARI
93
LV
Date
Opp
Rushing yards
Line
Oct 25
@ LV
93
—
Oct 18
vs ARI
42
—
Oct 12
vs BUF
19
—
Oct 4
@ PHI
14
—
Sep 27
@ DEN
15
—
Sep 21
vs NYG
79
—
Sep 10
vs SF
54
—
ReceptionsNo Hard Rock lines in these games
2026 season
1.4
Last 5
1.8
Last 10
1.4
Home · Away
1.5 · 1.3
0
SF
1
NYG
2
DEN
1
PHI
3
BUF
2
ARI
1
LV
Date
Opp
Receptions
Line
Oct 25
@ LV
1
—
Oct 18
vs ARI
2
—
Oct 12
vs BUF
3
—
Oct 4
@ PHI
1
—
Sep 27
@ DEN
2
—
Sep 21
vs NYG
1
—
Sep 10
vs SF
0
—
Receiving yardsNo Hard Rock lines in these games
2026 season
14.1
Last 5
17.2
Last 10
14.1
Home · Away
21.0 · 5.0
0
SF
13
NYG
0
DEN
7
PHI
53
BUF
18
ARI
8
LV
Date
Opp
Receiving yards
Line
Oct 25
@ LV
8
—
Oct 18
vs ARI
18
—
Oct 12
vs BUF
53
—
Oct 4
@ PHI
7
—
Sep 27
@ DEN
0
—
Sep 21
vs NYG
13
—
Sep 10
vs SF
0
—
Stats: nflverse game logs, regular season. Line: Hard Rock's final line before each game, when we captured one. Green bar = over the line, red = under.
SourcesResearch: repicom_public_nfl_intelligence_v1 (NO PLAY rows) · Form: repicom_nfl_intelligence_v1 (non-qualified rows only) · Read live at Oct 28, 10:05 PM ET.Member-qualified and locked player markets are never shown on public research pages. A research signal is not a REPICOM play.