Model signal exists, but the player does not meet the 20-game publication history floor.
A positive gap is not a pick: qualification also requires confidence, edge, expected value and a sufficient sample — those rules are unchanged.
Source & method · as of Oct 29, 3:40 PM ET
Source
repicom_public_nfl_intelligence_v1 (NO PLAY research rows, read server-side)
Statistic
Probability of the evaluated side, in %
Calculation
Model = model_probability. Market = captured market_probability; if absent, implied from american_odds (−odds ÷ (−odds + 100), or 100 ÷ (odds + 100)). Gap = model − market, in percentage points. EV = p × (decimal − 1) − (1 − p) per 1u.
Sample
history_games on the row
Freshness
Read on every request (no cache); the market price is the one captured with the evaluation
Missing data
A missing probability or price shows “—” and no bar. Nothing is estimated.
Recent form · receptionsMeasured
∅
Recent formNot available yet — requires a verified non-qualified intelligence row for this player and market. REPICOM does not estimate missing data.
Source & method · as of Oct 29, 3:40 PM ET
Source
repicom_nfl_intelligence_v1 — non-qualified, unlocked rows only, joined on player + market (+ game_id)
Statistic
Games that cleared the line, out of the last 10 (count)
Calculation
recent10_hits ÷ recent10_games. Dots show the count, not the game order.
Game-by-game · real game logs vs the Hard Rock line
Rushing yardsOver the line in 1 of last 5 with a Hard Rock line
2026 season
48.2
Last 5
49.2
Last 10
48.2
Home · Away
56.7 · 39.7
43
ARI
94
LV
56
BUF
45
SEA
33
DEN
18
KC
Date
Opp
Rushing yards
Line
Oct 18
@ KC
18
33.5
Under
Oct 11
vs DEN
33
41.5
Under
Oct 4
@ SEA
45
45.5
Under
Sep 27
@ BUF
56
—
Sep 20
vs LV
94
62.5
Over
Sep 13
vs ARI
43
66.5
Under
ReceptionsOver the line in 1 of last 4 with a Hard Rock line
2026 season
1.5
Last 5
1.8
Last 10
1.5
Home · Away
1.0 · 2.0
0
ARI
2
LV
0
BUF
2
SEA
1
DEN
4
KC
Date
Opp
Receptions
Line
Oct 18
@ KC
4
1.5
Over
Oct 11
vs DEN
1
1.5
Under
Oct 4
@ SEA
2
—
Sep 27
@ BUF
0
—
Sep 20
vs LV
2
2.5
Under
Sep 13
vs ARI
0
2.5
Under
Receiving yardsOver the line in 2 of last 4 with a Hard Rock line
2026 season
9.3
Last 5
11.2
Last 10
9.3
Home · Away
9.0 · 9.7
0
ARI
21
LV
0
BUF
8
SEA
6
DEN
21
KC
Date
Opp
Receiving yards
Line
Oct 18
@ KC
21
4.5
Over
Oct 11
vs DEN
6
6.5
Under
Oct 4
@ SEA
8
—
Sep 27
@ BUF
0
—
Sep 20
vs LV
21
10.5
Over
Sep 13
vs ARI
0
12.5
Under
Stats: nflverse game logs, regular season. Line: Hard Rock's final line before each game, when we captured one. Green bar = over the line, red = under.
SourcesResearch: repicom_public_nfl_intelligence_v1 (NO PLAY rows) · Form: repicom_nfl_intelligence_v1 (non-qualified rows only) · Read live at Oct 29, 3:40 PM ET.Member-qualified and locked player markets are never shown on public research pages. A research signal is not a REPICOM play.
