Model signal exists, but the player does not meet the 20-game publication history floor.
A positive gap is not a pick: qualification also requires confidence, edge, expected value and a sufficient sample — those rules are unchanged.
Source & method · as of Oct 28, 3:37 PM ET
Source
repicom_public_nfl_intelligence_v1 (NO PLAY research rows, read server-side)
Statistic
Probability of the evaluated side, in %
Calculation
Model = model_probability. Market = captured market_probability; if absent, implied from american_odds (−odds ÷ (−odds + 100), or 100 ÷ (odds + 100)). Gap = model − market, in percentage points. EV = p × (decimal − 1) − (1 − p) per 1u.
Sample
history_games on the row
Freshness
Read on every request (no cache); the market price is the one captured with the evaluation
Missing data
A missing probability or price shows “—” and no bar. Nothing is estimated.
Recent form · receptionsMeasured
∅
Recent formNot available yet — requires a verified non-qualified intelligence row for this player and market. REPICOM does not estimate missing data.
Source & method · as of Oct 28, 3:37 PM ET
Source
repicom_nfl_intelligence_v1 — non-qualified, unlocked rows only, joined on player + market (+ game_id)
Statistic
Games that cleared the line, out of the last 10 (count)
Calculation
recent10_hits ÷ recent10_games. Dots show the count, not the game order.
Game-by-game · real game logs vs the Hard Rock line
ReceptionsOver the line in 4 of last 6 with a Hard Rock line
2026 season
3.7
Last 5
5.0
Last 10
3.7
Home · Away
4.5 · 2.7
0
CAR
1
MIN
4
PHI
6
NYJ
2
GB
6
ATL
7
NE
Date
Opp
Receptions
Line
Oct 22
vs NE
7
4.5
Over
Oct 18
@ ATL
6
3.5
Over
Oct 11
@ GB
2
4.5
Under
Oct 4
vs NYJ
6
3.5
Over
Sep 28
vs PHI
4
3.5
Over
Sep 20
vs MIN
1
—
Sep 13
@ CAR
0
4.5
Under
Receiving yardsOver the line in 3 of last 6 with a Hard Rock line
2026 season
34.9
Last 5
48.2
Last 10
34.9
Home · Away
40.0 · 28.0
0
CAR
3
MIN
31
PHI
57
NYJ
19
GB
65
ATL
69
NE
Date
Opp
Receiving yards
Line
Oct 22
vs NE
69
44.5
Over
Oct 18
@ ATL
65
38.5
Over
Oct 11
@ GB
19
38.5
Under
Oct 4
vs NYJ
57
33.5
Over
Sep 28
vs PHI
31
33.5
Under
Sep 20
vs MIN
3
—
Sep 13
@ CAR
0
50.5
Under
Stats: nflverse game logs, regular season. Line: Hard Rock's final line before each game, when we captured one. Green bar = over the line, red = under.
SourcesResearch: repicom_public_nfl_intelligence_v1 (NO PLAY rows) · Form: repicom_nfl_intelligence_v1 (non-qualified rows only) · Read live at Oct 28, 3:37 PM ET.Member-qualified and locked player markets are never shown on public research pages. A research signal is not a REPICOM play.
