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Value Finder

Screen the board like an analyst.

Every player prop REPICOM evaluated, mapped model against market — with the price, EV, recent form, sample and the reason it did not qualify.

Evaluations
36
With recent form
36
Model above market
15
Qualified · locked
0
Statistical signals

Every evaluation here did not qualify as a REPICOM play. A favourable gap or hit rate is a research signal, not a recommendation.

NO PLAY
Evaluated, did not clear REPICOM's gates. Shown here with its evidence.
Qualified · locked
0 plays for members before the game. Never shown here.
Qualified · released
Public once released — on Top Plays and in Results.
Board map · model vs marketTap a point
40404545505055556060model = marketMarket implied %REPICOM model %
Model above marketModel at or below market4 plotted
Source & method · as of Oct 26, 10:50 PM ET
Source
Same NO PLAY research rows as the Value Finder list
Statistic
x = market probability, y = REPICOM model probability
Calculation
Points above the diagonal have model > market. Being above the line is not a qualification: confidence, EV and sample gates also apply.
Sample
One point per evaluation with both probabilities
Freshness
Read on every request (no cache)
Missing data
Evaluations missing either probability are excluded from the map and counted below it.
4 of 36 evaluations
MarShawn LloydCarolina Panthers@Green Bay PackersThu 8:15 PM ET
NO PLAY
rushing yardsOVER 18.5 · -115
REPICOM model54.5%
Market implied53.5%
Model − market+1.0 pts
EV / 1u+0.018Last 104/7Sample7 gMCP49.1
Cleared the line, last 104/757%
Count of hits in the sample, not an ordered game log.
Why it did not qualify

Model signal exists, but the player does not meet the 20-game publication history floor.

Josh JacobsCarolina Panthers@Green Bay PackersThu 8:15 PM ET
NO PLAY
rushing yardsOVER 58.5 · -115
REPICOM model53.3%
Market implied53.5%
Model − market-0.2 pts
EV / 1u-0.004Last 105/10Sample47 gMCP54.7
Cleared the line, last 105/1050%
Count of hits in the sample, not an ordered game log.
Why it did not qualify

Model confidence is below the 60% NFL qualification floor.

Josh JacobsCarolina Panthers@Green Bay PackersThu 8:15 PM ET
NO PLAY
rushing yardsOVER 58.5 · -115
REPICOM model48.8%
Market implied53.5%
Model − market-4.7 pts
EV / 1u-0.088Last 105/10Sample47 gMCP54.7
Cleared the line, last 105/1050%
Count of hits in the sample, not an ordered game log.
Why it did not qualify

Model confidence is below the 60% NFL qualification floor.

MarShawn LloydCarolina Panthers@Green Bay PackersThu 8:15 PM ET
NO PLAY
rushing yardsOVER 18.5 · -115
REPICOM model47.6%
Market implied53.5%
Model − market-5.9 pts
EV / 1u-0.110Last 104/7Sample7 gMCP49.1
Cleared the line, last 104/757%
Count of hits in the sample, not an ordered game log.
Why it did not qualify

Model signal exists, but the player does not meet the 20-game publication history floor.